DFS MLB FanDuel Home Run Predictions 6/7/19

Swingin’ for the Fences 

It’s Friday! Hopefully you’ve made it through the work week with minimal hassle and more green. Unluckily for me, Peralta turned into an ace and ripped apart my afternoon line while I was watching Godzilla go to town on some titans. But, as per usual, I need to take these losses as a lesson and learn from and if there’s one thing we can count on with the MLB, it’s providing us games to look at every day. Today is no different. We got yet another 14 gamer on the docket to jump into so let’s get to it.

Catcher/Corner Infield

Robinson Chirinos – $3,500 vs BAL (Ynoa)

Ynoa has been a very easy book to read so far this season. While LHBs are hitting just .214 against him with a .258 wOBA, RHBs are hitting .357 with a .421 wOBA. He is due for some positive regression but I don’t think that happens against HOU in 90 degree weather. You may see the price tag and wonder who this guy is and why he’s priced so high. On the down low, he’s been one of my favorite power bats both in DFS and in season long. He’s homered in each of his last 4 games, good for a .500+ ISO. He’s also earned his way up to the middle of the order which boosts his RBI opportunities. On both fronts of production and power, he should come through nicely.

Edwin Encarnacion – $3,600 vs LAA (Heaney)

Heaney has been nothing short of solid so far in his return this season with just 7 hits allowed over 13 innings with 19 strikeouts. That being said, he’s always susceptible to the long ball against RHBs. Of the 7 hits he’s given up, four of them have been the long ball. He gave up 27 bombs last season – all were to to those batting from the right side. Enter Encarnacion. He’s not hitting exceptionally well technically speaking but he boasts a massive .522 ISO over the past week. In his lifetime against Heaney, he’s gone 3-5 with a double and a pair of dongs. I love my boy but I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if EE goes yard tonight.

Middle Infield

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – $3,100 vs ARI (Kelly)

Kelly seems to alternate two average or below starts with a solid outing. He went 8 strong in his last outing so if the pattern holds true, we should expect some runs to be scored in tonight’s bout against the birds from the North. Lucky for us, he has just the splits to make that happen. At home, he’s been very solid with a 2.35 ERA in over 38 innings of work. On the road, he’s posted a NSFW ERA of 7.14 in 29 IP. He has a sub 20% K-rate while allowing a 39% hard contact rate to both sides as well as 1.62 HR/9 to RHBs. Meanwhile, Vladdy Jr. has been hitting .400 with a .400 ISO over the past week and .263 against RHPs over the course of the season. The Rogers Centre is also arguably the best park for opposing RHBs with just a 328′ dimension down the 3rd base line. Look for Jr. to rope one out today. (*Just realized he’s not a middle infielder. My apologies. If we’re staying in this game, I think Biggio can crank one out*)

Orlando Arcia – $2,400 vs PIT (Davis)

Davis is set to make his first start of the season tonight but he’s been very uninspiring to say the least. In 7 2/3 IP, he’s displayed decent K stuff but he’s already given up 5 runs. It would be pretty easy to name the guy who double donged and crushed my afternoon line yesterday but I think Arcia can knock one out to match. He hasn’t been tearing it up but he’s displayed decent power and a solid contact rate to match and that’s enough to draw my attention as a possible cheap dong against a below average pitcher named Rookie.

Outfield

Dominic Smith – $2,400 vs COL (Senzatela)

Smith is finally starting to get some starts with all the injuries plaguing the team and he’s been proving his worth quite well. He’s batting .373 on the season and has displayed a decent amount of pop with his bat. In his last four starts alone, he’s gone 8-16 with three dongs. Senzatela also struggles with missing bats with a minuscule sub 14% K-rate and allowing over a HR per inning to both sides of the plate. While LHBs only have a 22% flyball rate against him, they also have a 31% line drive rate along with a 40% hard contact rate. Line that up with the 57% HC rate for Smith and you got something pretty.

Alex Gordon – $3,400 vs CWS (Nova)

Nova is terrible. Gordon is solid. Nova has a 4.57 ERA on the road with 7 of his HRs allowed coming against LHBs. Gordon has a .291 average at home with 8 of his 9 HRs going against RHPs. Nova allows a 35% hard contact rate to LHBs. Gordon has a 50% rate over the past week. You get the idea….

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Another day, another article done. You know what they say….time flies when you’re having fun. The pitchers we have today are a solid group but a good portion them have had problems with keeping the ball in the yard. All 6 guys mentioned possess above average power to help you get started but hopefully you guys can pick some dingers of your own. Good luck to you all.

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