DFS NBA FanDuel Lineup Advice 3/17/19

DFS NBA Fanduel Lineup Advice 3/17/19

Hey guys! Hopefully you still remember me but I’ve risen from my grave to break down a small but solid 4 game main slate for you all. As the season winds down, rotations are tightened so we have a better idea of who gets bigger minutes in these games. I understand there will also be people who will play the All Day slate so for their sake, I will include some All Day plays in the “Other options” section. I’m ready to jump into this slate so let’s not waste any more time. As per usual, higher salary players will not be mentioned with their obvious upside and a rough draft will be included to help get you going. Let’s get it!

Point Guard

 

Spencer Dinwiddie – $6,900 @ LAC

The bad thing with Brooklyn is that no one really gets much more than 30 minutes, not even Russell. The good thing is that we likely know where their production is coming from. Dinwiddie is one of those sources. Since his return to action, he has scored double digits in each of his last 8 games, even providing fantasy owners with a pair of 40 spots against soft teams like ATL and CLE. The Clippers are one of these softer teams and Dinwiddie will fortunately avoid Beverley defense. This is a late game and one that features a healthy 231 O/U. Dinwiddie is a terrific cash game option and intriguing in GPPs.

DJ Augustin – $4,900 vs ATL 

You probably saw this coming from a mile away but this is just too enticing of a spot to ignore for DJ. ATL is #1 in terms of pace and has been a top 3 matchup for opposing PGs all season long. It also doesn’t hurt that he’s coming off one of his best games of the season. His splits are also very favorable. He shoots 7% at home than on the road and a surprising 17% better from distance. He’s a fine play to fire up in all formats.

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Other options: For the all day players, considering who starts at PG for the Knicks, that player will be in play in all formats. Rondo is a turnstile on defense and the game currently features a 4 pt spread so production should come naturally. Caruso is also another name to possibly lock in as he’s been given relatively heavy minutes and has been producing extremely well at sub 4k. Gilgeous-Alexander also makes my pool of PG options. While I’m typically not a fan of playing him, he’s been in good form and is reasonably priced.

Shooting Guards

 

Buddy Hield – $6,800 vs CHI 

You’ve got a friend in me, Buddy. Buddy’s breakout season has paid huge dividends for fantasy players everywhere and keep those pockets open ’cause he should help you fill them with cash tonight. He gets a home matchup against the tanking Chicago Bulls in the highest O/U game of the day. CHI is bottom 5 in defensive efficiency and 3 point bombs allowed and that’s all you really need to know to lock him in. The only knock on this play is the pace as CHI plays at the 11th slowest pace in the league. Even considering that, Hield is a core play in all formats.

Eric Gordon – $5,700 vs MIN

Pending the Harden news, Gordon possesses some slate breaking abilities today. Regardless of Harden’s availability, he gets 30+ min of run against a team that’s bottom 10 in defensive efficiency and has given up 39 three point baskets over the last 3 games. This also figures to be a decent pace up game for the Rockets players as well. All signs point to it being a great night for the deep shot specialist. He’s a fine play in all formats.

Other options: Dotson and KCP figure to be more than serviceable plays from the LAL/NYK contest. LAL has been a top matchup for opposing 2s all season long and with Dotson essentially playing entire games, it’d be hard to not play him at sub 6k. The Knicks have also given it up to opposing guards (how surprising) and KCP has been playing well. I’m still willing to ride the train at 4.5. Waiters would also make the cut for me as I enjoy targeting high volume players against a soft Charlotte defense. 

Small Forwards

 

Otto Porter – $7,000 @ SAC

The position is downright abysmal so it’d be best to try and either scour value for this position or find value elsewhere to “pay up” for safety. FanDuel’s defensive ranking for SFs is listed at 26 but Sacramento has been respectable against SFs as of late so take note of that. That being said, Sacramento is not a team to avoid targeting against. They are in the bottom half as far as defensive efficiency goes and have given up 123 points over the last three games. It is also a massive pace up for the Bulls as the Kings are 3rd in the league in pace. Porter is by far the best SF play on the night in terms of safety/upside. If you’re not starting with him at the position, I’d punt.

Harrison Barnes – $5,600 vs CHI

Barnes represents the position as a whole. He can score a bit but outside of that, there’s not much to get excited about. He’s the other safe option at the position but with lesser upside. While this intro paints a dull picture, as was the case with Porter, CHI isn’t a team that we should avoid targeting. Chicago is bottom 5 in defensive efficiency and is one of the worst rebounding teams in the league. He’s always hovered right around this price and would venture to say he gets 6x tonight, 7x if he decides to kick his aggressiveness up a notch.

Other options: If news comes out that Winslow is active, I’d at least consider taking a shot at him in such a value-deprived position. He’s been receiving healthy run and has been in good form recently so I’d expect to him to at least hit value in this spot. This next play isn’t for the faint of heart so tread lightly. On paper, Redick has a terrible matchup against the best defense in the league. However, if there’s anything that Redick is good at doing, it’s shooting the deep ball and this could be a matchup to do just that. The game figures to be rather competitive and MIL, on average, is tied with MIN for allowing the most 3 point baskets at 12.5. He’s an option you can add to your pool. For the main players, if Harden is out, House would become an elite value play and Green would also come into consideration.

Power Forwards

 

Aaron Gordon – $7,300 vs ATL

Although not as bad as the SF position, value is also pretty dry for PFs as well so you have to choose your players especially careful today. I’m likely paying up at the position and Aaron Gordon is probably going to be one of my heavy targets. Gordon typically either gives you in between 30 and 40 and I’d like to think he gets closer to the latter today. For one, it’s Atlanta. Second, Gordon has noticeable home/road splits. At home, he shoots 46% from the field as opposed to 42% on the road and shoots a juicy 12% better from deep in front of the home crowd. Third, Atlanta has allowed 58 boards per game over the last three. He’s close to a lock for me and is core play in all formats at 7.3.

Montrezl Harrell – $7,800 vs BKN

You know it’s pretty bad when the 2nd play is someone priced near 8k. There’s a massive drop in tier level after Gordon and not many, if any, at those prices are trustworthy. As for Harrell, he’s coming off a 26 pt performance against the Bulls and has scored 20+ in his last three games. I’ve been targeting bigs against Brooklyn all season and won’t stop tonight. Brooklyn is bottom 10 in total rebounding, offensive rebounds allowed, and points in the paint allowed. Combine all this with Harrell’s recent play and you got yourself one of the easiest locks of the night.

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Other options: Kelly Olynyk grades out as a decent play against a beatable Hornets frontcourt but I will say that 5.1 feels like a slight overpay given his recent production. I don’t love Kaminsky either but he’s appropriately priced and Zeller also figures to miss this game as well. As for the main slate, anybody from Kurucs down to even Green are capable of getting you 25 but also more than capable of giving you 10. If I had to suggest a group, it’d be Kurucs, Giles, Saric, Tucker in that order.

Centers

 

Robin Lopez – $6,000 @ SAC

I never thought I’d ever list Lopez as a great play but here we are. He’s in the midst of one of the best stretches of his career and is coming off an All Star performance of 28 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 3 blocks, and a steal with no turnovers. Today, we have him in a dream matchup in a home bout against the Kings. The Kings are the worst rebounding team in the league, 2nd worst in offensive rebounds allowed, and 3rd worst in points in the paint allowed. I hate to say this but all signs point towards him having another terrific outing. He qualifies as a core play in both cash lines and GPPs.

Willie Cauley-Stein – $5,700 vs CHI

While Lopez is playing like an All Star, he still isn’t playing defense. The Bulls have been the 4th friendliest matchup on the season for opposing Cs and this is not a bad way to go if you want to be contrarian. Cauley-Stein hasn’t exactly been in excellent form but he’s been providing solid numbers for his price point. Also, as a personal requisite, I do not target WCS unless he is at home so get him while you can while both parameters line up for him. I can see a solid 30+ from him tonight.

Other options: As you probably guessed, LAL/NY provides us with yet more options. Both teams are abysmal at keeping the opponent off the boards, defending the paint, and not getting blocked. Robinson, Jordan, and McGee are all solid options at their price points. While a matchup against Embiid is never ideal, Brook Lopez has been playing some solid ball as of late and is one of few centers who can bring Embiid away from the post and rain down baskets from the perimeter. He scored 29 in their first meeting early in the season so it’s definitely viable. To top it all off for the main slate players, Jarrett Allen profiles as a solid play against a nonexistent interior defense. Zubac also makes sense given the matchup but his minutes leave a bit to be desired.

Bonus Lineup

Well that just about does it for today’s slate! Hopefully, you guys read through all the info and are able to come up with a line(s) you like. It’s a semi-tricky slate so don’t get too cute with your value. You can always find me on Twitter @gr33nappleboy if you wanna follow or give me some feedback. Best of luck to you all!

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