DraftKings: It’s A Showdown In Baltimore!!
For the ones who have followed these showdown articles, I appreciate you!! If you have followed me and took my advice, you should have made some money over these last two. In the last article, I was heavy on Cole Beasley and Brandon Aiyuk. Those two with the obvious Josh Allen call helped me cash in all contest. So, I hope we have all been able to make some money. With the season winding down, we need to take advantage of all the spots that we can. That is what we aim to do tonight with the Ravens and Cowboys game.
When it comes to the showdown slates, you have to tell a story with your lineup. Whichever game script you like for that team, you need to make the story make sense for them. We all know lineup stacks and correlating our players is more popular than ever. In this game, the Ravens vs. Cowboys, I like the game script of Baltimore running all over them with a few big passing plays. On the Cowboys side, I can only see them moving the ball thru the air, especially if Baltimore is healthy on the D-line.
Vegas Information: o/u 45 Baltimore -7.5
If I were a betting man (obviously am), I would take Baltimore and lay the points.
Injury News: Dallas- Cam Erving (out), Zack Martin (out), Aldon Smith (Q), Anthony Brown (Q), Donavon Wilson (Q), Steven Parker (Q), Baltimore- Broderick Washington(D), Tramon Williams (D), Jimmy Smith (Q), Chuck Clark (Q), Calais Campbell (Q), Brandon Williams (Q), Jaylon Ferguson (Q)
The big news will be on Campbell and Williams. In my opinion, having those two on the D-line changes the defense. Their ability to stop the run game will take a huge boost if they’re both active.
Lamar Jackson– The price tag of $11,600 for Lamar makes him the most expensive on the slate. He is not only the highest-priced and also has the highest ceiling. We’re not sure how much covid will mess with him in his first game back, but I don’t look for it to slow him down. The Ravens know they HAVE to win this game. For them to win this, it’s going to be on the arm and legs of Lamar. While he has only had one game over 20 fantasy points in the last four, in this game, I think Lamar has that big game that we haven’t seen really since week six. In my gut, I feel that this is going to be a statement game from Lamar. He has been subject to criticism as of late, and I think he tries to make a statement in this game. There is no need to go on about Lamar. We all know to play him in this spot and not over-think it.
J.K Dobbins– The price of $8,600 is about where it needs to be, and I’m glad it is. I think this is the best play on the slate, outside of Lamar for raw points. He might end up being the best point per $$ play. In his last game before the Rona, he had 15 carries for 70 yards and a touchdown. He also had 2 catches for 15 yards. With the talent and opportunity in this matchup, I think it makes Dobbins by far the best running back play on the slate. In this game, I expect the Ravens to use a heavy dose of the ground game, and my money is on Dobbins to lead the backfield.
Marquise Brown– This is the definition of a boom or bust play each week. He is the type of player that can break a slate on one play, and we saw that in the last game. We should have Brown as the top receiving option again due to Mark Andrews and Willie Snead expected to be out. In the same situation without Lamar, we saw Brown get eight targets. That was without Lamar too. We know the Ravens have to win. For them to get the win, they’re going to have to lean on their playmakers. This is the spot for “Hollywood” to take the spotlight. With the type of player Brown is, if you’re doing multiple entries, I wouldn’t normally go overweight in this spot, but I will definitely have exposure equal to the field.
Luke Willson– This is just a cheap punt with possible upside. In his first game with the Ravens, he really didn’t have the time to learn the offense. He has had a little more time to practice and get familiar with the offense. He should be the top tight end for the Ravens. The talent isn’t on the same level as Mark Andrews, but we know how much Lamar likes to use the tight ends. For a price of $1,800, I will go to Willson as my punt in most lineups. The top tight end in an injury-riddled receiving corp and one that will be on the field most snaps. All we need is the targets. The price is easy to pay off if the targets are there.
Dez Bryant– With the injuries, Dez has had some opportunities lately. In the last two games, he has had seven targets. He was on the field for 59 percent of snaps last game. The price of $1,000 for someone who will be on the field over half the snaps and possibly a handful of targets coming his way makes for an interesting punt option. When looking for cheap guys, I would rotate between Dez, Willson, and Tony Pollard, but never a lineup with two of them in together.
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Ezekiel Elliot– I’m going to take a stand against Zeke. There are options less than his $10,200 price tag that I like more. I won’t say to go full fade of Zeke, but I wouldn’t go overweight here. If it seems that people are thinking this same way and going to fade Zeke, then I will up my exposure to try and gain some leverage on the field. The injuries to the Cowboys offensive line and bad Quarterback play has taken a toll on Zeke’s production, and sometimes it doesn’t look like the same Zeke, but outside of the fumbling issues, he is still one of the most talented backs in the league. The injury news from the Ravens is one to watch here too. If both Brandon Williams and Calais Campbell are out, it will change my thoughts on Zeke.
Amari Cooper– When you look at the WR/CB matchups for the game, it shows that Amari has the best matchup with Marcus Peters. If Dak Prescott were playing, then I would give you that. These ratings don’t factor in the guy throwing them the ball. We know Dalton can be serviceable, but he can’t make those tight-window throws consistently. In a matchup with a corner like Peters, you’re not going to have much separation usually. That is when the accuracy of the QB and the timing between the two factors in. For those reasons, I don’t see Amari having a big game in this spot. The same with Ceedee Lamb, his matchup with Marlon Humphrey is a tough one. The injury news for the Ravens is important here too. We need news on Jimmy Smith. If he is out of this game, Michael Gallup becomes a great play. That news could be big on deciding which receiver you like best. Let’s assume they’re all healthy. In that situation, my favorite receiver, if I had to, would be Lamb.
Dalton Schultz– On the Dallas side of things, this is my favorite play. The pressure that Andy Dalton will be under will cause the quick throws. In the last four games, Schultz has averaged 6.5 targets per game. With the targets he is already getting and adding in the pressure to cause the quick throws, I can see a path to 8 plus targets in this one. A touchdown from Schultz could put him close to 20 fantasy points.
Michael Gallup– The injury news is big for Gallup. Right now, Jimmy Smith is listed as questionable. If Smith is ruled out, then Gallup will become the best play on the Cowboys side.
Value Options: Justin Tucker, Greg Zuerlein, Ravens D, Gus Edwards, Devin Duvernay
May variance be on your side and the DFS gods with you!!!!
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