DraftKings Value Plays- NFL Week 11 (11/17/19)

I feel really confident about the values in Week 11. Which obviously means they are likely to fail in spectacular fashion. Seriously, depending on what news breaks this weekend, you will probably find a vast majority of these plays in my cash lineups which will allow me to fit in 3-4 studs.

Please note, a ton can (and will) change between article posting and kickoff, follow me on Twitter for all my thoughts on additional value coming and going before lineups lock.

QUARTERBACK

Kyle Allen ($5,300), Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons:

DraftKings has been aggressive in pricing up the players in good matchups which is why I am surprised to see Allen in the low 5K range. He is playing a horrid defense and projects to be a high scoring affair. This looks like a big mis-price and will capitalize on the savings if I want to spend at other positions.

RUNNING BACK

Brian Hill ($4,800), Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers:

The likely chalkiest play of the week, but for good reason. There really isn’t anyone behind Hill to siphon carries and he gets to face one of the worst run defenses in the league. Don’t overthink this chalk, play him with confidence.

J.D. McKissic ($4,600), Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys:

This one requires monitoring the injury report. If McKissic gets the start, he should have a decent floor as an exceptional pass catching back. Even if the Cowboys blow out the hapless Lions, he should see plenty of dump off passes in space.

WIDE RECEIVER

Deebo Samuel ($4,000) San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals:

Another WR Samuel finds their way to the value list. Deebo should see an increased target % with all the injuries to their most talented pass catchers. Factor in a great match up and we have ourselves another fine value.

TIGHT END

Ross Dwelley ($3,400), San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals:

Kudos to DraftKings for pricing Dwelley up a little bit. He is playing the worst defense against TE’s and it appears VERY likely George Kittle misses another game. I would rather take a shot at this unknown in a good spot than some of the known dust in this range.

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

New Orleans Saints ($2,900) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

An elite defense priced this low? I should end the article right there but I will emphasize that while Tampa is a great offense, they are also extremely mistake prone. I smell pick 6 all over this game.

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