infantryboys NFL DFS FanDuel Cash Line Up For Week 1
Since Fan Duel and Draft Kings published their contests so early, it’s been pretty interesting for me to watch my line up evolve. I’ve shared this evolution here and hopefully you’ve enjoyed it as well. Now the evolution ends; this will be the line up I’ll use in my cash games on Fan Duel this weekend (unless an injury occurs or a monsoon blows into an NFL city) and the reasoning behind every selection.
Again, this is my cash game line-up, and while I always put it in a few Guaranteed Prize Pools, there are other players at a couple of positions better suited for tournaments, in my opinion. With that said, I am expecting this line up to cash in tournaments as well.
Finally, since I’m not using any of the players from the Thursday night game, this is the line up I’ll be playing in both the Thursday and Sunday slates.
QB Tyrod Taylor ($5,000) The fantasy gods smiled upon us when Rex Ryan announced Taylor as the starter. Priced at the site minimum, Taylor should CRUSH value. He only needs 10 points to reach cash game value and he should get at least half of that with his legs. I love running QBs in cash games. They have a higher floor than non-mobile QBs due to their rushing yards (and hopefully TDs.) The Colts had the 11th ranked defense last season, so while it’s not a great match-up, it’s not terrible either. Finally, the Colts are favored so Taylor is expected to be throwing and running late to play catch up.
RB Eddie Lacy ($8,500) Lacy had 1566 total yards and 13 TDs last year and will be facing a Bears defense that was rated 32nd overall and 21st against the run. Furthermore game flow should work in Lacy’s favor. The game has a high over/under of 50 points and the Packers are currently 6 point favorites. This means that Lacy should have plenty of opportunity to score and be on the field late, helping his team “run out the clock.” Yes, please.
RB Chris Ivory ($6,400) After being in a committee with Chris Johnson the past couple of seasons, Ivory finally has the early down work all to himself. Game flow and match up work in Ivory’s favor as well. The Jets are 3 point favorites and the Browns ranked 31st against the run last season. The 40 point O/U isn’t ideal, but Ivory only needs 12.8 points to reach value. 80 yards and 1 touchdown seems like a good floor for this game, which would translate into 14 points.
WR Julio Jones ($9,000) When putting together our cash line-ups, we want to be as safe as possible and #1 receivers are as safe as they come. With Roddy White slowed by age and injuries and the running game a mess, Jones is the clear #1 weapon on the team and might surpass the 164 targets in 15 games from last season. Philadelphia was ranked 18th against the pass last season and this game is expected to be a shootout with an O/U of 55 ½, with the Eagles currently a 3 point favorite.
WR Odell Beckham ($8,900) Beckham came on like a house on fire last season; he was targeted 132 times in 12 games, catching 91 for 1305 and 12 TDs. With Victor Cruz highly doubtful against the 22nd ranked pass defense of the Cowboys, Beckham is clearly the #1 receiver again in New York. Add to that a 51 ½ point O/U and the fact the Cowboys are a 5 ½ point favorites (I love targeting receivers and QBs when they’re underdogs) you have a perfect storm for Beckham.
WR Jordan Matthews ($6,800) Let me get this straight, for $6,800 we get the #1 receiver (notice a trend) in a Chip Kelly offense going against the 31st ranked pass defense from a year ago in a game with a 55 ½ point O/U. Do I need to go into any more detail here? It doesn’t get much easier than this.
TE Greg Olsen ($5,900) The injury to Kelvin Benjamin made Olsen the #1 receiver in Carolina, and no other tight end can say that (before you bring up Rob Gronkowski, Julian Edelman had more targets last season.) Olsen was targeted 122 times last season and should see a nice bump with Benjamin’s missing 146 targets going somewhere. The Panthers face the Jaguars 17th ranked pass defense (22nd against the TE position), so the match-up is solid. The 41 point O/U isn’t ideal, but the volume of targets Olsen should receive more than offsets this.
K Dan Bailey ($5,000) Bailey is one of the best kickers in football. He converted 25 of 29 field goal attempts last year and was 5-7 from 50 yards or more. The game is expected to be high scoring and he’s kicking inside. The Cowboys are favored, which also gives Bailey a nice bump, as they are more likely to kick field goals late in the game to pad their lead, rather than being forced to go for it on 4th down.
D NY Jets ($4,400) I was all set to pick the Dolphins defense, but the Redskins ruined my day by naming Kirk Cousins he starter. On to New York! Last season the Jets had a great front seven, but the secondary was a mess. In the offseason the Jets signed CBs Antonio Cromartie and Darrelle Revis, which should change that as they face the Browns offense, which has been even worse in the preseason than they were last year when they ranked 28th in overall offense. Add to this the game will be played in New York and you have an easy selection here.
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