Welcome to the Week 10 Preview! We will cover every game for the upcoming weekend and find the best matchups and the ones to avoid! Let’s just jump into it.
Redskins at Buccaneers
The Buccaneers are just different with Ryan Fitzpatrick. His deep completion percentage nearly doubles Jameis Winston’s in every third of the field. I think this is a DeSean Jackson game. You have the “revenge narrative” and we just saw Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley exploit them with pure speed. Josh Norman is sneaky old and ran a 4.7 when he was young. That is where they should attack.
Cardinals at Chiefs
Sammy Watkins suffered a foot injury and is likely going to miss some time. I think this helps Chris Conley the most. He was already the slot receiver for the Chiefs and will now be out wide opposite Tyreek Hill in two-receiver sets. He is an athletic freak and should see an increase in targets. I think Hill gets shadowed by Patrick Peterson, but it shouldn’t matter. He is so quick and explosive that he only needs one play. This should be a big Kareem Hunt game, though. Massive home favorite against a bottom-three team that is leaking points to running backs.
Bills at Jets
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The Bills continue to be the worst offense in professional sports history. Nathan Peterman will likely play again with Josh Allen out and Derek Anderson in the concussion protocol. Pencil in multiple interceptions and brutal stat lines from every Bills player. LeSean McCoy should get more work with Chris Ivory banged up. This could be his best game of the season.
Jaguars at Colts
This game will be massive in determining the AFC South. I think the Colts win this one easily, though. They have a top-5 offensive line and the Jaguars simply cannot get any pressure. Marlon Mack will run all over this defense and Andrew Luck will have plenty of time to throw the ball. T.Y. Hilton is a great DFS tournament play and Jack Doyle should see great targets as well. In his two full games with Luck this season, he’s seen 17 targets.
Leonard Fournette should be back in this game. It will be interesting to see if this changes the look of the offense, which has been the most run-heavy to start the season. I’m not sure if they’ll give him a full workload, but he’ll likely see enough work to pay off. The Colts are weak against deep targets on early downs, so Donte Moncrief might be solid in this one. He is seeing a 22 percent target share, so you could do worse.
Lions at Bears
Jordan Howard has strung together some nice games, mostly due to touchdowns. This one sets up as a good game as well. The Bears should be able to force some turnovers and give Howard some easy red zone work. Allen Robinson should be back, but that means he’ll be seeing Darius Slay. This should help Anthony Miller, who runs primarily out of the slot. I’m buying the Bears running game more than the passing game, though.
Saints at Bengals
Patriots at Titans
The Patriots should be getting back Sony Michel and Rob Gronkowski, but I see this game going to more of a pass-centric offense. The offense seems to run through James White these days, but the Titans have athletic linebackers in Rashaan Evans and Wesley Woodyard. They should be able to contain White and Gronk. Malcolm Butler has been a liability every week. Josh Gordon will be matched up on him for most of the game (assuming the Titans haven’t demoted Butler). He should be able to dominate that matchup coming off of his best game since 2015. Julian Edelman has a tough matchup with Adoree Jackson in the slot, but he and Brady seem to make it work every week no matter what.
Falcons at Browns
I remember watching the Chiefs against the Browns on Red Zone. Kareem Hunt caught a screen on the left side, stiff-armed a guy and took it 50 yards for a score. Then seconds later they cut to the Falcons game where Tevin Coleman took a screen, juked a guy and took it 50 yards for a score. And now Tevin Coleman gets the Browns this week? I think we’ll see the exact same play.
The Browns just put LB Christian Kirksey on IR. He was their answer for running backs and tight ends that split out. This should be an easy smash spot for Coleman and Austin Hooper. Denzel Ward is also doubtful, so they should have no answer for Julio Jones. This offense will continue to be unstoppable with Sarkisian calling plays like this.
Duke Johnson feels like a trap play this week. He dominated the passing game work against the Chiefs and will likely do the same against the Falcons. BUT, if Deion Jones returns from IR, he has the speed to shut down Johnson. His return would be an incredible boost to this defense. Jarvis Landry is an easy target here against Brian Poole. He is seeing a massive target share and the Browns will pass a ton. They were drawing up 2-6 plays for each of Damion Ratley, Rishard Higgins, Antonio Callaway, and Breshad Perriman. None of them are usable.
Chargers at Raiders
Melvin Gordon keeps chugging along. He is dominating the work in the backfield despite having a usable change of pace guy. Gordon is averaging 5.4 yards per carry despite never topping 3.9 in his career. It’s almost like he is the dominant running back that we saw in college. Maybe we shouldn’t write a guy off after a few years.
It is hard to justify any Raider in fantasy, but the two I have an eye on are Doug Martin and Jared Cook. Martin has averaged over 5.0 yards per touch over the last two weeks and the Chargers are weak at linebacker. Jared Cook is the top option in the passing game for the Raiders, but the Chargers are good against tight ends. They roll the athletic first-rounder, Derwin James, down to take away the position.
Seahawks at Rams
The Seahawks ramped up Russell Wilson’s pass attempts to 39 after averaging less than 20 on the year. This is what we want to see for the future. The elevated attempts help everyone in the passing game, but mostly Tyler Lockett. Lockett will be up against Marcus Peters, who just got bullied by Michael Thomas last week for over 200 yards. Lockett is a good route runner and should dominate him on double moves. Doug Baldwin should be fine as well, but Nickell Roby-Coleman plays the slot and has been the best corner for the Rams. Mike Davis should have a nice game, and he recently saw a passing game boost (8 targets last week).
Dolphins at Packers
I’m not very interested in any Dolphin. Danny Amendola comes to mind as a volume slot receiver, but do we really want to rely on Osweiler to complete throws? Kenyan Drake saw three touches to Frank Gore’s 21, so I don’t even know what to say about that. It’s like the Dolphins know they absolutely suck so they want to get Gore his records for some locker room camaraderie. It truly is embarrassing for the franchise and the fans.
Cowboys at Eagles
I’m excited for Golden Tate to abuse the Cowboys again. I think he completely phases out Nelson Agholor and captures a 20 percent target share. He should be fantasy relevant right from the start. Alshon Jeffrey has a very tough matchup against Byron Jones. I’m not too excited about him. Josh Adams could have a good game with Sean Lee back out. Has this dude ever played more than 10 games in a season? Either way, Adams is pushing Corey Clement out the door. He could solidify his role with a solid showing this week.
Giants at 49ers
George Kittle has surpassed all expectations. I declared him the next Travis Kelce in the preseason, but he is even more athletic and is producing with a litany of quarterbacks. He’ll feast this week. The receiver core is a little more difficult to project. Nick Mullen looks like the GOAT, but he spread out the targets to Kenrick Bourne, Richie James, Marquise Goodwin, and Pierre Garcon. You have to bank on Goodwin seeing the best target share, but it’s hard to really rely on it. “Iron Man” Matt Breida is set up for a big workload with Raheem Mostert out for the year. He is a solid RB2.
Well, that’s it for this week! Thank you so much for reading and I hope I helped you all with your lineups. If you have any questions or comments, let me know on Twitter! See you next week.
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