Hidden Dynasty Assets: QB Edition (fantasy football)
Quarterback is a weird position to look for hidden assets. For about 30 of the teams you know who the starting QBs are and no one is really going to come out of nowhere unless it is via injury. Yes, we’re looking at you Case Keenum. For me, a hidden asset at this position is more of your journeyman style QB who will continually battle and his name will stick around for years to come.
1. Case Keenum
Case Keenum is far from off the grid after blowing up in 2017. With 3,500 yards and 22 Touchdowns, Keenum burst onto the scene last year in Minnesota after an injury to Sam Bradford. Moving into 2018, Keenum is currently ranked near the bottom of the barrel in terms of the NFL QBs in terms of dynasty value. I’m buying Keenum everywhere I can. He is 30 years old heading into the season and has been a backup for most of his career thus far. He has been healthy and should still have a nice window of playing time ahead of him. In Denver, Keenum has talented receivers in Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Paired with the old guys are younger receivers in Cortland Sutton, DaeSean Hamilton, and Carlos Henderson. Moving to the backfield Denver just addressed a need at running back by drafting Oregon workhorse Royce Freeman. Keenum can potentially be loaded with weapons while he is in Denver not to mention he already has a good blindside protector in Garrett Boles. Expect to see Keenum as a high QB2 for at least the next 2 years after that landing spot is huge.
2. Josh Allen
It’s not very often you see a rookie projected starting quarterback projected as low as 34 in dynasty rankings. Josh Allen is almost guaranteed 2 years as a starting QB with where he was drafted as long as he can hold off Nathan Peterman and AJ McCarron. Allen has all the arm talent in the world, but people are rightfully worried about the jump from Wyoming to the NFL. It is also worrisome that Allen is missing any significant weapons around him outside of Shady McCoy. Hopefully, Kelvin Benjamin can rise back up and perform at least a WR2 level. If Zay Jones could also make a jump, this offense would have a few weapons. I believe it is time to buy Allen while his value is low. With where he is currently going in rookie drafts his value couldn’t fall too much even if he busts.
3. Mitchell Trubisky
Mitchell Trubisky is hanging out between 20-25 in most Dynasty QB rankings. While Mitch is coming off a season where he ranked 28th in points for QBs, he has hopefully improved since last year. Not only has he likely improved, he’s gained receivers Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel, and Anthony Miller. He also has gained some new coaches with a new offensive mindset. Trubisky has been projected 230 points in 2018 which is a 100 point increase from his rookie season. Possibly the thing that helps Trubisky the most is he has the 4th easiest strength of schedule this season. While Trubisky may not be a QB1 this year, he definitely has the potential to grow, develop, and leap up to eventually become an elite QB so buy him while he’s cheap.
Ryan Tannehill is an interesting case, at 29 years old he has plenty of time left to make a quality career, but after back to back knee injuries he may be on a short leash or an injury away from losing his spot as a starting QB. In 2014 and 2015 Tannehill threw for over 4,000 yards. If he can return to this form Tannehill will be a high-end QB 2 with some QB1 weeks sprinkled in. A big part of Tannehill’s success will depend on whether or not Wide Receiver DeVante Parker can make a jump and become a quality NFL receiver. Even if he cannot though, I expect Kenny Stills to be huge for the Miami Dolphins this season. Another important factor coming back from ACL surgery will be if he can continue to move in the pocket and pick up some yards on the ground. While Tannehill will never be elite, he will more than likely exceed his value of QB 31 in dynasty rankings.
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