NFL DFS DraftKings Cash Game Lineup – Week 13 (Main Slate – 13 Games (12/3/2017)

Cash Game Lineup Article Overview

Each week, I’ll post my cash game picks for DraftKings. Since this is usually posted earlier in the week, some picks may change slightly by Sunday. Follow me on Twitter @fantasybeast15 for updates!

In cash games, you should always look for each player to reach at least 3x value.

DraftKings Points/(Player Salary/1000) = Value

Example: If Carson Wentz has a $5,000 salary and scored 15 DraftKings (DK) points, Wentz would reach 3x value based on the formula below.

15 DK Points/($5,000/1,000) = 3x Value

I will also present a 3x stat line. The 3x stat line is not a projection, but a hypothetical stat line that would allow the player to reach three times his value. When creating your own cash game lineup, choose players who you believe can reach the 3x stat line. If you look at a player and don’t think he can reach the 3x stat line, consider choosing a different option in your own lineup.

Now, let’s get into the DraftKings cash game lineup picks for week 13!

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QB – Trevor Siemian at (MIA) – $4,800

Siemian has been reinstated as the Broncos starter and gets a Dolphins defense that ranks 31^st against the pass. With no real running game alive in Denver, it should be up to Siemian to move the ball. He threw for 149 yards and two scores last week against Oakland after entering the game with less than 20 minutes left. I’m expecting Siemian to play well and try to prove he should have been the starter all year. He averages 15.4 DK points per game this season, yet needs slightly under that number to reach value this week.

3x stat line: 225 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, 14 rushing yards = 14.4 DK Points

RB – Carlos Hyde at (CHI) – $5,900

Hyde averaged 8.8 targets per game over his last five contests which is especially appealing on a full PPR site. I’ve seen some analysts suggest the receptions will decrease as Jimmy Garoppolo is a more efficient downfield passer. This is certainly possible, but if Garoppolo can move the ball through the air, Hyde should see easier running lanes and more scoring opportunities. ESPN’s Mike Clay highlighted Hyde using his OTD metric as a candidate for positive touchdown regression. The regression could certainly start this week.

3x stat line: 15 carries, 53 rushing yards, 3 catches, 34 receiving yards, 1 total touchdown = 17.7 DK points

RB – Kenyan Drake vs. (DEN) – $4,900

Damien Williams left last week’s game due to injury leaving Drake to soak up most of the running back work. Drake is a capable receiver out of the backfield and the Broncos rank just 21^st against running back receptions. The Broncos defense is number one against the run this season, but has struggled in the past four weeks allowing five rushing touchdowns and an average of 34.93 PPR points per game to opposing running backs. I like Drake with an increased workload against a potentially overrated Broncos run defense.

3x stat line: 17 carries, 71 rushing yards, 4 catches, 36 receiving yards = 14.7 DK Points

RB – Jamaal Williams vs. (TB) – $4,700

Williams will face the Buccaneers in a home game where the Packers are now favored by two. Williams has 20+ touches in three straight weeks, has four catches in each of the past two weeks, and has a great matchup this week. The Buccaneers struggle with run defense giving up 123 rushing yards and 1.33 rushing touchdowns on the road this season. With Williams’ volume and the quality matchup, he’s a lock in my cash game lineup as long as Ty Montgomery and Aaron Jones remain out.

3x stat line: 19 carries, 81 rushing yards, 3 catches, 30 receiving yards = 14.1 DK Points

WR – DeAndre Hopkins at (TEN) – $7,300

Hopkins has seen 12.25 targets per game over the past four weeks giving him an extremely high floor. This floor is obvious as Hopkins has double-digit DK points in every game this season except one (9.9 against Cleveland). I’ll take the volume and high floor in a solid matchup and lock Hopkins into my cash game lineup.

3x stat line: 7 catches, 89 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown = 21.9 DK Points

WR – Mike Evans at (GB) – $7,100

Evans faces a Packers defense that ranks 22^nd against the pass and 30^th against WR1s. Evans has at least eight targets in every game he hasn’t been thrown out of, giving him a high floor in a positive matchup. Jameis Winston is expected to return, boosting Evans’ upside as well. Evans is underpriced at $7,100 making him a solid option for both cash games and tournaments.

3x stat line: 6 catches, 93 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown = 21.3 DK Points

WR – Davante Adams vs. (TB) – $6,500

Since Brett Hundley took over as the Packers’ starter, Adams has seen 8.2 targets per game. His price has risen, making him a fringe cash game option, but he’s averaged 20.93 DK points over his past three games in much tougher matchups. He’ll get to face the Buccaneers defense this week that ranks 30^th against the pass. With his target volume, matchup, and production even in sub-optimal spots, Adams makes for a fantastic tournament play, and a potential cash game play as well.

3x stat line: 5 catches, 85 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown = 19.5 DK Points

TE – Jared Cook vs. (NYG) – $5,400

Both Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree will likely miss week 13, leaving Jared Cook as Derek Carr’s primary weapon in the passing game. His price is higher than I’d like to pay, but the matchup is perfect. He should push for double-digit targets and faces the Giants who have given up 10 receiving touchdowns to tight ends this season, and yield 17.8 PPR points per game to the position.

3x stat line: 5 catches, 52 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown = 10.2 DK Points

Week 12 Lineup Review

While I didn’t have a week 12 cash game article, I posted my favorite plays on my Facebook page. You can see those plays as well as future plays here: https://www.facebook.com/fantasybeast15

I survived a few busts in my cash game lineup, and overall, my lineup did well scoring 154.84 DK points.

What worked: I thought Julio Jones, Cooper Kupp, and Tevin Coleman were locks in cash games this week. Jones went crazy scoring 53.8 DK points, scoring more than 1/3 of the points in my lineup. With Robert Woods out, we could reasonably project both Sammy Watkins and Kupp to see an increased target share. At basically the same price, I preferred Kupp to Watkins due to his 16 red zone targets compared to Watkins’ five. Also, Watkins hadn’t caught more than 3 passes in a game since week three. Finally, I thought Coleman was a lock after Devonta Freeman was ruled out. The Falcons were double-digit favorites (which also made me comfortable with the Falcons defense), and Coleman had 21 touches in his last two games with Freeman out.

What didn’t work: My decision to play Jacoby Brissett turned out to be a mistake, but I’m ok with the process. The Colts kicked two field goals after trips to the red zone, and Frank Gore scored a 14 yard touchdown, making Brissett’s outcome a bit unlucky. In that same game, Corey Davis disappointed, but after seeing 17 targets over his past two games, I was on Davis before the Rishard Matthews injury considering the matchup. When Matthews was ruled out, it solidified Davis as a cash game play. Finally, my value decision was between Devontae Booker, J.D. McKissic, and Dede Westbrook. I went with Booker simply because I thought he had the best shot at a touchdown. In the game, he had a touchdown overturned by replay, and then was stuffed on the goal line. Again, I think Booker’s outcome was a bit unlucky.

Overall, I cashed in 80+% of my cash games and all of my double-ups.

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