NFL Week 6 Last Call Start, Sit or Forget
Well, smack my ass and call me Shirly, I do not think I could have gotten Week 5 any more wrong if I tried…and I didn’t try. I feel like the drunk at the bar who mistakes the bartender’s aimless flirtations as a sign that there is a meaningful relationship blossoming…so wrong.
Premium play Matthew Stafford was 29-of-45 for 260 yards, a touchdown, and an interception, those are more of a meh option than your premium choice. And WTF, https://images.app.goo.gl/t6JtHyEAUcRvr8ts7 Garrett Wilson, glad to see you. After what can only be deemed as a subpar start, no game with more than six receptions, and no more than 60 yards, the young Mr. Wilson connected with the cranky Aaron Rodgers for 13 receptions, 101 yards, and a touchdown. Expectations are currently untampered, but it should be also noted that the very legit Minnesota Vikings defense was displaying a penchant for a ‘bend don’t break’ attitude towards opposing WR1, until Week 4. Now it is two weeks in a row that they have allowed the WR1 over 100 receiving yards and a touchdown. Is this an aberration or a trend?
Minnesota Vikings Defense v WR1 2024
Week | WR | Targets | Receptions | Yards | Touchdowns |
Week 1 | Nabers, NYG | 7 | 5 | 66 | 0 |
Week 2 | Samuel, SFG | 10 | 8 | 110 | 0 |
Week 3 | Collins, Texans | 10 | 4 | 86 | 0 |
Week 4 | Reed, GBP | 8 | 7 | 139 | 1 |
Week 5 | Wilson, NYJ | 22 | 13 | 101 | 1 |
We will have to put that question on hold because the Vikings along with the Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, and the Miami Dolphins are all on their bye week.
So, we move on this week’s premium, well, and forget it options. And as far as fall premium drinks, I will never ever suggest a pumpkin anything as a premium option…it is firmly in the ‘fuhgeddaboudit” pile. But if you are looking for a premium fall drink to kick off your tailgating, or mornings (no judgment here) consider a Spiced Apple Moscow Mule, relatively simple and refreshing and you don’t have to succumb to the pumpkin craze.
Recipe
- 2 ounces of vodka
- 2 ounces of apple cider
- 1 ounce spiced simple syrup with cinnamon and cloves
in a small saucepan bring 1 cup sugar and 1 cup water to boil (over medium heat) until the sugar has dissolved. Add 4 or 5 cinnamon sticks (break them in half before putting in the mixture) and 6 cloves whole. Reduce the heat to low, cover, and simmer for 10 minutes until it begins to thicken. Turn off the heat, cover, and let it cool for 30-60 minutes. Remove the cinnamon sticks and cloves…toss. Refrigerate syrup in an airtight container (probably good for about a month and this should make about a cup of syrup—so you can use it in your Hot Toddy’s or on your pancakes?)
If you are not into your home wafting with the delicious scents of cinnamon and cloves (or you don’t want to invest the time Monin has a cinnamon syrup you can buy)
- 4-6 ounces of ginger beer
- Garnish with apple slices and cinnamon sticks
In a copper mug of glass add the vodka, apple cider, and spiced simple syrup. Add ice. Top off with ginger beer. Stir with your cinnamon stick and garnish with apple slice. Prost!
And now on to our fantasy football choices.
Premium Play, Daniel Jones, Quarterback, New York Jets
You know that moment you walk into a bar and you see all the premium options that you have heard about but maybe slightly out of your range, the Lamar Jackson, the Jayden Daniels, or the Jordan Love? They may just be a little too expensive for you this week, so you look for that next best option that will get you where you need to be…hello Daniel Jones.
I know, it is going to take a minute (take your time) but Jones is a viable option this week against the Cincinnati Bengals defense. The Bengals’ defense is bad, Per ESPN they are second-to-last in defensive success rate, 30th overall in points allowed per drive, and 31st in third-down defense. The Bengals’ defense has allowed an average of 29.0 points per game and 214.0 passing yards per game. Quarterbacks are averaging 22.6 fantasy points per game against them.
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Jones for his part is coming into the game after a surprise road win against the Seattle Seahawks, a win accomplished without star rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers. In last week’s game, Jones passed for 257 yards and two touchdowns while adding 38 rushing yards (and yes for you naysayers he did have one fumble but zero interceptions).
For the season the New York Giants are averaging 35.8 passing plays per game with Jones fifth in red zone attempts (25), ninth in deep ball attempts (18), and fifth in carries (34).
But the most exciting reasons for choosing Jones, this week is that Nabers is back and Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense have scored 25 or more points in four games this season. This will push Jones and the Giants offense to keep pace.
The line for the game currently sits at 47.5 o/u with the Giants a 3.5-point home underdog.
Well Play, Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts
UPDATE: PITTMAN HAS BEEN DECLARED DOUBTFUL FOR THIS WEEK AND JOSH DOWNS DID NOT PRACTICE WEDNESDAY 😳
This option isn’t entirely dependent upon the quarterback play, if Anthony Richardson is back, Pittman is naturally downgraded, but even with Joe Flacco, this will be a tough matchup for Pittman.
Pittman will likely go against Tennessee Titans’ L’Jarius Snead and the Titans secondary who have yet to give up a touchdown to the wide receiver position (although they have given up three passing touchdowns to the running back position).
Pittman plays the boundary 70% of the time and the Titans have allowed the second-fewest points to the perimeter while yielding the lowest yards per target (6.1).
Pittman has not had double-digit targets with either quarterback but is better statistically with Flacco (insert shock face).
Quarterback Comparison
Quarterback | Snap Share | Route Run Rate | Targets | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Touchdown |
Richardson | 88.9% | 100% | 8 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
Flacco | 89.9% | 89.8% | 8 | 5 | 31 | 1 |
I know I said this isn’t (completely) about the quarterbacks, but it kinda is.
The Tennessee secondary is legit. Flacco gives Pittman a fighter chance against them, unfortunately, Richardson does not.
Mat Play (Or Simply Don’t Do It), Mike Evans, Wide Receiver, New Orleans Saints
It’s last call and you have been drinking all night (you have called an Uber), on a dare you have ordered a Three Wisemen Shot ( ½ ounce Johnny Walker, ½ ounce Jack Daniels, and ½ ounce Jose Cuervo) it’s not pretty and it’s not smart but you do it.
That my friends is what awaits you when you suit up Evans this week. Evans is a Hall of Famer no doubt, he is also owned by Marshon Lattimore and the New Orleans Saints. As Reddit user Zomics aptly puts it, in 14 games against Lattimore, Evans has averaged three receptions, and 52 yards, and has had over 10 fantasy points in only 20% of the matchups.
There is always a chance that this year is the year Lattimore doesn’t get under Evans’s skin and neither player gets ejected. There is also always a chance that this is the year Evans breaks the Lattimore curse and gets double digit fantasy points for you.
But most likely when you play Evans in your fantasy line-up this week (as I will) because there are no better healthy options in a world where even a Tyler Huntley-Tyreek Hill match would have been better, you will feel just as good as you did after consuming the dreaded shot.
You have been warned.
“The risk of a wrong decision is preferable to the terror of indecision.”~ Maimonides
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