Swing for the Fences: DFS Home Run Predictions (June 24)
Not a big home run day on Wednesday with just one long ball but it was from a low-owned source in Eugenio Suarez so hopefully it helped propel your lineup up the leaderboard. Tonight we have a full 15-game slate to examine and surprisingly only one recommendation from the game at Coors Field.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
C – Welington Castillo (ARI) – Let’s get my one Coors Field play out of the way right off the bat at catcher with Castillo who has mashed lefties with a .352 ISO this season and faces Rockies lefty Tyler Anderson at Coors Field.
1B – Wil Myers (SD) – Myers has already reached a career-high with 16 homers this season and will get to face Reds rookie lefty Cody Reed who gave up two homers in his first big league start and has a favorable park adjustment playing in Cincinnati tonight.
2B – Starlin Castro (NYY) – Castro continues to show power this season including a walk-off homer on Wednesday. He holds a .188 ISO against lefties this season and will face Twins lefty Tommy Milone at Yankee Stadium who has given up 1.21 HR/9 to righties in his career.
SS – Manny Machado (BAL) – Fresh off his suspension, Machado comes back in a good spot against Rays home run prone lefty Matt Moore who has given up 1.77 HR/9 to righties this season.
3B – Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – Rodriguez has a significantly better ISO against lefties this season (.245) and has had great success against Tommy Milone hitting 4-for-9 with two homers.
OF – Matt Kemp (SD) – Kemp homered yesterday and will look to make it two days in a row against Reds lefty Cody Reed and the weak Reds bullpen. Kemp has eight homers and a .400 ISO against lefties this season.
OF – Bryce Harper (WAS) – Harper has hit two homers over his last seven games and will get a favorable park adjustment going to Milwaukee tonight. He will face Brewers righty Zach Davies who has pitched well lately but is still allowing 1.21 HR/9 at home to lefties.
OF – Mookie Betts (BOS) – Betts has been great this season with 36 extra-base hits in 72 games including 12 homers against righties for a .530 slugging percentage. With the Red Sox as the highest projected run total outside of Coors Field today, Betts is a good “bet” to put up a big stat line and potentially go deep.
Longshot – Chris Carter (MIL) – If there is one thing that Max Scherzer has struggled with this it is the long ball allowing 1.46 HR/9 to righties. Meanwhile, Carter has smacked 10 of his 18 homers this season at home against righties.
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Wednesday, June 22 – Results
Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
C | Victor Martinez | 0 | 3.0 |
1B | Chris Davis | 0 | 6.5 |
2B | Ian Kinsler | 0 | 3.0 |
SS | Eduardo Nunez | 0 | 12.5 |
3B | Eugenio Suarez | 1 | 34.7 |
OF | Mitch Moreland | 0 | 3.5 |
OF | Adam Jones | 0 | 12.4 |
OF | Robbie Grossman | 0 | 9.2 |
Longshot | Prince Fielder | 0 | 10.0 |
Season Results
Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
C | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 12.24 |
1B | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6.25 |
2B | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 10.24 |
SS | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 11.43 |
3B | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 15.38 |
OF | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 15.83 |
Longshot | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 11.26 |
Total | 104 | 24 | 23.1% | 12.85 |
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