Swing for the Fences: DFS Home Run Predictions (June 29)
Three home runs again on Monday from my HR predictions. It is beginning to sound like a broken record or an iPod with a song stuck on repeat, to use a more current reference. Better to be stuck on three homers a day than zero I suppose. Let’s see if I can break the three-homer barrier on tonight’s eight-game slate.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
C – Brian McCann (NYY) – Seems like I recommend McCann a lot but I guess when you are a catcher and have hit 20+ homers for eight straight seasons you deserve to be looked to for power at the catcher spot. McCann will face righty Nick Martinez who allowed two long balls in his last start.
1B – Jose Abreu (CHW) – Abreu has hit righties better than lefties in his career with a .230 ISO. He will face Twins righty Ricky Nolasco who Abreu has hit two homers against in 12 career plate appearances.
2B – Chase Utley (LAD) – Utley has only hit one homer in June but has a 41.7% hard contact rate and gets a favorable park adjustment going to Miller Park tonight against Brewers’ righty Junior Guerra who has allowed at least one homer in each of his past four starts.
SS – Corey Seager (LAD) – Doubling down on Dodgers middle infielders today with Seager who gets the same favorable park adjustment in Milwaukee and has hit 12 of his 16 homers against righties this season.
3B – Jung Ho Kang (PIT) – Kang has homered twice in his last five games and has a career .198 ISO against lefties. He will face lefty Wade Miley tonight who has allowed 1.50 HR/9 to righties this season.
OF – Andrew McCutchen (PIT) – McCutchen may be starting to come out of his slump with three extra base hits including two homers over his last four games and has a 46.2% hard hit rate during that span.
OF – Brett Gardner (NYY) – Gardner has just five homers on the season but has had good success in a limited sample size against Rangers starter Nick Martinez with a homer and double in four at-bats. He will also likely get a couple at-bats against the Rangers bullpen which has allowed 1.34 HR/9 this season.
OF – Khris Davis (OAK) – Davis homered yesterday and has three homers over his last six games including four multi-hit games during that span. He is heating up so now is a good time to ride the wave against Jake Peavy who has reverse splits allowing 1.59 HR/9 to righties this season.
Longshot – Jordy Mercer (PIT) – Going with another Pirates righty against lefty Wade Miley tonight with Mercer who should bat leadoff giving him multiple opportunities to take one deep at just $2,500 on FanDuel.
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Monday, June 27 – Results
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Brian McCann | 0 | 9.5 |
| 1B | Anthony Rizzo | 1 | 30.7 |
| 2B | Rougned Odor | 1 | 18.7 |
| SS | Addison Russell | 0 | 0.0 |
| 3B | Nolan Arenado | 0 | 13.2 |
| OF | Nomar Mazara | 0 | 12.2 |
| OF | Carlos Gonzalez | 1 | 34.9 |
| OF | Ezequiel Carrera | 0 | 0.0 |
| Longshot | Adam Duvall | 0 | 22.2 |
Season Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 12.04 |
| 1B | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 11.11 |
| 2B | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 10.33 |
| SS | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 11.57 |
| 3B | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 14.81 |
| OF | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 15.87 |
| Longshot | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 12.24 |
| Total | 121 | 30 | 24.8% | 13.38 |
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