Swing for the Fences: DFS Home Run Predictions (June 5)
Here is a look at some long ball prospects for the Sunday MLB slate.
C – Evan Gattis (HOU) – Gattis has homered in two of his last three games and will face Sonny Gray making his first start off the DL. Gray has been hit hard by righties this season allowing 2.49 HR/9 and a .425 wOBA.
1B – Dae-Ho Lee (SEA) – Lee has made the most of his playing time this season hitting eight homers in just 87 at-bats with a .250 ISO against lefties. Lee will face southpaw Derek Holland on Sunday with his career 1.38 HR/9 allowed to righties.
2B – Brian Dozier (MIN) – Dozier has hit lefties much better than righties in his career with a .223 ISO. Dozier will face Rays lefty Drew Smyly who has already allowed nine homers to righties this season in 51.1 innings.
SS – Carlos Correa (HOU) – Correa has only connected for one homer since May 17 but has been hitting the ball well the last week with four multi-hit games including three triples. It is only a matter of time before the ball starts going over the fence for Correa again and Sunday could be the day with Sonny Gray on the hill.
3B – Maikel Franco (PHI) – Franco has hit four of his nine home runs this season against the Brewers. He will get to face the Brewers Wily Peralta and his 1.71 HR/9 allowed to righties on Sunday in Philly.
OF – Bryce Harper (WAS) – Harper only has one hit over his last two games since missing a couple of games but he should get healthy on Sunday facing the Reds righty Jon Moscot who has allowed 3.77 HR/9 to lefties in his brief career.
OF – Nelson Cruz (SEA) – Cruz has homered in two of his last three games and will face lefty Derek Holland Sunday with a favorable park adjustment playing in Texas.
OF – Mark Trumbo (BAL) – Trumbo is a streaky hitter and he looks to be starting a hot streak with three homers in his last three games. He will face lefty CC Sabathia who has only allowed 0.38 HR/9 and a 4.0% HR/FB rate this season but is due for some regression back toward the 1.51 HR/9 and 16.6% HR/FB he had last season.
Longshot – Clint Robinson (WAS) – Robinson should draw another start Sunday with Ryan Zimmerman on paternity leave. Robinson only has two homers so far this season but has a career .161 ISO against righties and will face the home run prone Jon Moscot.
Wednesday’s Results
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| Date | Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| 1-Jun | C | Wilson Ramos | 1 | 35.2 |
| 1-Jun | 1B | Edwin Encarnacion | 0 | 16.2 |
| 1-Jun | 2B | Jose Altuve | 0 | 18.2 |
| 1-Jun | SS | Trevor Story | 0 | 3.0 |
| 1-Jun | 3B | Nolan Arenado | 0 | 3.0 |
| 1-Jun | OF | Ryan Raburn | 0 | 3.0 |
| 1-Jun | OF | Nelson Cruz | 0 | 6.0 |
| 1-Jun | OF | Jayson Werth | 0 | 6.0 |
| 1-Jun | Longshot | Ryan Howard | DNP |
Season Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 13.28 |
| 1B | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 7.40 |
| 2B | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 9.68 |
| SS | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 11.68 |
| 3B | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 15.60 |
| OF | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 15.88 |
| Longshot | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 12.45 |
| Total | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 13.33 |
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