Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (4/14)
Yoenis Cespedes had a big three home run day on Tuesday and if you stuck around to follow my answer to a user who asked who to pivot to when Trevor Story and Josh Donaldson were ruled out then you could have gotten on Asdrubal Cabrera and Nolan Arenado who both went deep. Since they weren’t in my original list I won’t count them on my “tally” but we are off to a good start to the season.
Friday night’s long ball recommendations include a few hitters that you maybe wouldn’t expect matching up against pitchers that are generally considered pretty good. So utilizing this lineup in a GPP could be a little contrarian.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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C – Yasmani Grandal (LAD) (FanDuel: $2,800 / DraftKings: $3,300) – The best time to play Grandal is at home against a righty, even if that righty is Zack Greinke. Grandal hit 17 of his 27 homers last season at home against righties with a massive .376 ISO.
1B – Chris Davis (BAL) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,000) – Davis has had success against opposing pitcher Aaron Sanchez going 5-for-15 with two homers and nine walks over the last two seasons.
2B – Brian Dozier (MIN) (FanDuel: $3,700 / DraftKings: $4,700) – Dozier could be getting a hot bat with his first homer two games ago and a two-hit effort yesterday as he returns home to face a rookie making his first big league start.
SS – Zack Cozart (CIN) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Cozart has been hot to start the season with an eight-game hitting streak. While he has yet to hit a long ball, he did have a .245 ISO at home against lefties last season.
3B – Eugenio Suarez (CIN) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $3,700) – Suarez is off to a good start this season hitting .375 with two homers and had a .252 ISO against lefties last season.
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OF – Ryan Bruan (MIL) (FanDuel: $4,200 / DraftKings: $5,000) – Braun homered last night off a righty and has 21 career home runs in 73 games in Cincinnati.
OF – Carlos Gomez (TEX) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $3,400) – Gomez with his swing for the fence approach is a great GPP option with homers in back-to-back games and one homer with three walks in five plate appearances against Hernandez over the last two seasons.
OF – Steve Pearce (TOR) (FanDuel: $2,800 / DraftKings: $3,400) – Pearce is 4-for-6 with two homers off Wade Miley, had a .305 ISO against lefties last season and could move up in the order with Josh Donaldson likely out.
Longshot – Brandon Moss (KC) (FanDuel: $2,200 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Moss if off to a slow start in KC but hit 25 out of his 28 homers off righties last season with a .302 ISO.
Tuesday, April 11 – Results
| Date | Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| 11-Apr | C | Welington Castillo | 0 | 6.0 |
| 11-Apr | 1B | Kendrys Morales | 0 | 12.2 |
| 11-Apr | 2B | Ryan Schimpf | 0 | 3.0 |
| 11-Apr | SS | Trevor Story | NA | NA |
| 11-Apr | 3B | Josh Donaldson | NA | NA |
| 11-Apr | OF | Carlos Gonzalez | 1 | 18.7 |
| 11-Apr | OF | Yoenis Cespedes | 3 | 69.1 |
| 11-Apr | OF | Nelson Cruz | 0 | 3.0 |
| 11-Apr | Longshot | Justin Smoak | 0 | 0.0 |
Season Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 4.07 |
| 1B | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 11.57 |
| 2B | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 13.40 |
| SS | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 21.55 |
| 3B | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 20.70 |
| OF | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 14.93 |
| Longshot | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 12.57 |
| Total | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 13.75 |
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