Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (4/19)

Welcome to a special Wednesday edition of Swing for the Fences. I plan to write this article each Tuesday and Friday but will provide a Wednesday article this week for two reasons. One, last night was horrible with zero home runs and I want to redeem myself right away. Two, I will not be writing an article on Friday since I will be on vacation. So with that here are the home run predictions for Wednesday night’s 11-game slate including some familiar names from yesterday’s list also looking for redemption.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

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C – Evan Gattis (HOU) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $4,000) – Gattis didn’t start last night so I will go with him again tonight. He is facing right-hander JC Ramirez who Gattis has taken deep twice in three at-bats. Gattis had a .293 ISO at home versus righties last season.

1B – Joey Votto (CIN) (FanDuel: $3,800 / DraftKings: $5,000) – Votto went deep last night and has a four-game hitting streak with two homers during that stretch. He will face Orioles right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez who allowed 1.53 HR/9 to lefties last season with a .387 wOBA. Votto should do damage against Jimenez even if he doesn’t go deep.

2B – Brad Miller (TB) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Miller has hits in each of his last four starts including three extra-base hits. He had a .342 wOBA and .263 ISO versus righties last season.

SS – Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $3,500) – Cabrera is another pick that came up short for me last night but I am going back to tonight against Phillies right-hander Vince Velasquez. Cabrera hit 15 of his 23 homers off righties at home last season while Velasquez has allowed 1.52 HR/9 to lefties in his career.

3B – Jake Lamb (ARI) (FanDuel: $3,900 / DraftKings: $3,900) – Lamb gets a negative park adjustment playing in San Diego tonight but he carries a career .202 ISO versus righties on the road and faces Jhoulys Chacin who allowed 1.12 HR/9 to lefties last season and has already allowed two long balls to lefties through his first three starts this season.

OF – Bryce Harper (WAS) (FanDuel: $4,700 / DraftKings: $4,900) – Another repeat from last night. Although Harper didn’t go deep last night at least he provided some production with two doubles. Those doubles could turn back into homers tonight against Julio Teheran who Harper has hit three homers in 15 at-bats over the last two seasons.

OF – Jose Bautista (TOR) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $4,200) – Bautista has had a lot of success against opposing pitcher Rick Porcello with four home runs in 21 at-bats over the last two seasons.

OF – Corey Dickerson (TB) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $3,300) – Dickerson shows greater power versus righties with a .264 ISO last season and .261 career mark. He will face righty Jordan Zimmermann who allowed a lot of hard contact.

Longshot – Michael Conforto (NYM) (FanDuel: $2,700 / DraftKings: $3,300) – Conforto batted leadoff yesterday and if he is in the top spot again he could have success against Velasquez who has gone 4-for-7 with two homers off of in his career.

 

Wednesday, June 29 –  Results

Date	Pos	Name	HR	FD Pts
18-Apr	C	Evan Gattis	NA
18-Apr	1B	Chris Davis	0	6.0
18-Apr	2B	Ryan Schimpf	0	3.0
18-Apr	SS	Asdrubal Cabrera	0	3.0
18-Apr	3B	Manny Machado	0	0.0
18-Apr	OF	Bryce Harper	0	18.2
18-Apr	OF	Nelson Cruz	0	3.0
18-Apr	OF	Justin Upton	0	3.0
18-Apr	Longshot	Seth Smith	0	6.2

 

Season Results

Pos	Picks	HR	HR Rate	Avg FD Pts
C	4	0	0.0%	5.30
1B	5	1	20.0%	14.32
2B	5	1	20.0%	12.24
SS	4	2	50.0%	17.83
3B	4	1	25.0%	11.90
OF	15	5	33.3%	12.37
Longshot	5	1	20.0%	9.98
Total	42	11	26.2%	12.10

 

 

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