Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (5/2)
I had a nice three home run day on Friday to close out the week and as long as you avoided my Adam Conley recommendation and focused on my Charlie Morton selection instead, you probably had a good lineup that was able to cash in a GPP. Tonight we have a full 15-game slate with a ton of options to consider, so let’s get to it.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
Download the GoingFor2 App for iOS and Android
C – Matt Wieters (WAS) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Wieters hit two home runs on Sunday and is 4-of-6 with a homer and a double off Taijuan Walker in his career. Plus, the wind is blowing out to right field.
1B – Justin Bour (MIA) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Bour has hit all 43 of his career home runs off righties while posting a .221 ISO. He will face right-hander Alex Cobb who has struggled with the long ball over his last 10 starts allowing 1.8 HR/9 (3.7 HR/9 to lefties).
2B – Rougned Odor (TEX) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $4,200) – Odor only has one home runs since the first week of the season but he could add to that total against Mike Fiers on Tuesday. Fiers has already allowed eight home runs this season and Odor is 3-for-9 with a triple and homer against Fiers in his career.
SS – Didi Gregorius (NYY) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Gregorius has been hot since returning from injury with three multi-hit games in his first four starts. He had a .231 ISO at home against righties last season taking advantage of the short porch in right.
3B – Jedd Gyorko (STL) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $3,700) – Gyorko is hot right now going 8-for-18 with three homers over his last three games including two long balls against the Brewers last night. He is also 5-for-12 with a homer off Wily Peralta in his career.
Love our content? Check out the GoingFor2 Live Podcast Network!
OF – Bryce Harper (WAS) (FanDuel: $5,200 / DraftKings: $5,300) – Harper has a career .254 ISO at home against righties in his career while Walker allowed 2.13 HR/9 to lefties last season.
OF – Jay Bruce (NYM) (FanDuel: $3,700 / DraftKings: $3,400) – Bruce has five extra-base hits over his last five games including a home run and will face right-handed knuckleballer R.A. Dickey who Bruce has hit three doubles and three homers off in 15 at-bats.
OF – George Springer (HOU) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Springer is an example where you can’t look to BvP (0-for-11 versus Cole Hamels) but Hamels is allowing a lot of hard contact this season (36%) and has allowed four homers to righties through his first five starts.
Longshot – Ben Gamel (SEA) (FanDuel: $2,200 / DraftKings: $2,800) – Gamel has been batting second for the Mariners versus right-handers the last three games. He will face righty Matt Shoemaker who has struggled with the long ball this season including four homers to lefties (2.84 HR/9).
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Alex Wood ($7,600), Trevor Cahill ($6,900)
DraftKings – Alex Wood ($7,900), Trevor Cahill ($5,000) although you should be able to pay up some with the cheap DK prices on the hitters on this list.
Friday, April 28 – Results
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Yasmani Grandal | 0 | 3.5 |
| 1B | Freddie Freeman | 1 | 22.2 |
| 2B | Jonathan Villar | 0 | 6.0 |
| 3B | Nolan Arenado | 0 | 12.2 |
| SS | Corey Seager | 0 | 12.4 |
| OF | Mike Trout | 1 | 34.4 |
| OF | Giancarlo Stanton | 0 | 9.5 |
| OF | Corey Dickerson | 1 | 27.9 |
| Longshot | C.J. Cron | 0 | 3.0 |
Season Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6.70 |
| 1B | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 12.85 |
| 2B | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 10.71 |
| SS | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 22.89 |
| 3B | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 10.26 |
| OF | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 15.43 |
| Longshot | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 8.82 |
| Total | 66 | 17 | 25.8% | 13.26 |
If you have any suggestions or feedback for the article, follow me and hit me up on Twitter @Rotopilot
[wysija_form id=”1″]ATTN Dynasty Commissioners: Do you want to do something cool for your league? How about a 1-hour live show dedicated to YOUR league? Team-by-team breakdowns, rankings, and more. For details and to book a show, visit: GoingFor2.com/plp.
