Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (5/23)

Last Friday’s Swing for the Fences recommendations performed dreadfully, expect for the pitcher selections. That will happen sometimes when we are fishing for home runs. I’d rather have a zero home run day like Friday and then hit on a five or six homer night rather than just get two homers each night all season long. So, I am back at it for Tuesday’s big 15-game slate, looking for that five or six homer night.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

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C – Chris Herrmann (ARI) (FanDuel: $2,400 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Going with Herrmann again just like Friday. He doesn’t start often but when he does, especially at home versus a righty he needs to be in your lineup. Homers in two straight starts. Pivot to Austin Hedges if Herrmann isn’t starting.

1B – Jose Abreu (CHW) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Abreu has a .470 wOBA and .263 ISO versus southpaws this season and will face Diamondbacks’ lefty Patrick Corbin who has allowed 1.64 HR/9 to righties this year.

2B – Ryan Schimpf (SD) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Schimpf homered in his last game and has a .253 ISO versus righties this season. He will face Mets’ right-hander Matt Harvey who has allowed 2.18 HR/9 to lefties this year.

SS – Carlos Correa (HOU) (FanDuel: $4,100 / DraftKings: $4,700) – Correa has a .422 wOBA and .316 ISO at home versus right-handers this season and will face Tigers’ righty Jordan Zimmermann who has allowed 2.19 HR/9 to righties this season.

3B – Jake Lamb (ARI) (FanDuel: $4,100 / DraftKings: $5,500) – Lamb has a career .361 wOBA and .233 ISO at home versus righties and will face White Sox righty Dylan Covey in Arizona.

OF – Yasmany Tomas (ARI) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Tomas has a .300 ISO versus righties this season and faces righty Dylan Covey who has allowed a massive 4.32 HR/9 to righties this season.

OF – Josh Reddick (HOU) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Reddick has a .449 wOBA and .288 ISO at home versus righties this year and will face Tigers’ right-hander Jordan Zimmermann who has allowed 2.25 HR/9 to lefties his season.

OF – Colby Rasmus (TB) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,400) – Rasmus has a career .207 ISO versus righties and will face right-hander Matt Shoemaker who Rasmus is 6-for-19 with a double and homer off in his career.

Longshot – Lucas Duda (NYM) (FanDuel: $2,400 / DraftKings: $3,400) – Going back to Duda as my Longshot pick again. I swear this will be the last time. Duda is 2-for-5 with two homers off Jhoulys Chacin in his career.

Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Matt Harvey ($8,000), Jesse Hahn ($7,800), Jordan Montgomery ($7,000)
DraftKings – Danny Duffy ($8,800), Jordan Montgomery ($6,800), Matt Harvey ($6,500), Jesse Hahn ($6,100)

 

Friday, May 19 –  Results

Pos	Name	HR	FD Pts
C	Chris Herrmann	NA	NA
1B	Chris Davis	0	0.0
2B	Neil Walker	0	6.2
SS	Pat Valaika	NA	NA
3B	Miguel Sano	0	6.0
OF	Nelson Cruz	0	0.0
OF	Yasmany Tomas	0	9.2
OF	Jayson Werth	0	6.2
Longshot	Lucas Duda	0	6.0

 

Season Results

Pos	Picks	HR	HR Rate	Avg FD Pts
C	9	1	11.1%	7.96
1B	12	3	25.0%	12.16
2B	12	1	8.3%	10.46
SS	11	3	27.3%	18.28
3B	11	1	9.1%	8.82
OF	37	13	35.1%	14.58
Longshot	11	1	9.1%	9.54
Total	103	23	22.3%	12.48

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