Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (6/8)
Introduction
It’s been a while since I have been able to post a Swing for the Fences article between a family vacation and my kids home from school for the Summer, time has been a little short. Enough excuses, time for some home run picks for Friday’s big 14-game slate that has a lot of hitters primed to go deep including a variety of cheap outfield options.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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Lineup
C – Yasmani Grandal (LAD) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $4,000) – Grandal at home versus a righty, enough said.
1B – Justin Smoak (TOR) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Smoak faces righty Andrew Cashner who has served up a .382 wOBA and 1.93 HR/9 to lefties this season.
2B – Jose Altuve (HOU) (FanDuel: $4,100 / DraftKings: $4,900) – Not sure if Altuve will go deep but he does his best work on the road against righties with a .468 wOBA and .183 ISO this season.
SS – Francisco Lindor (CLE) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $4,900) – Lindor is 5-for-14 with two doubles and a homer off Michael Fulmer in his career.
3B – Jake Lamb (ARI) (FanDuel: $3,900 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Lamb and the D’Backs travel to Coors Field where they will face right-hander German Marquez who has allowed 1.49 HR/9 at home during his career.
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OF – Mitch Haniger (SEA) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $3,900) – Haniger has four hits over his last two games including a home run in Tampa last night.
OF – Josh Reddick (HOU) (FanDuel: $2,600 / DraftKings: $3,500) – Reddick has a career .341 wOBA and .186 ISO against righties and gets a positive park adjustment in the heat of Texas against righty Doug Fister who has allowed 2.13 HR/9 to lefties at home this season.
OF – Joc Pederson (LAD) (FanDuel: $2,400 / DraftKings: $3,900) – Pederson slugged a pair of homers yesterday and gets a good matchup on Friday at home against righty Brandon McCarthy who has allowed 1.52 HR/9 to lefties this season.
Longshot – Curtis Granderson (TOR) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,500) – See Justin Smoak.
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Walker Buehler ($8,400), Caleb Smith ($8,000)
DraftKings – Walker Buehler ($9,300), Caleb Smith ($9,100), Vince Velasquez ($8,300), Marco Gonzales ($7,100)
Results – Wednesday, May 30
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Chris Iannetta | NA | NA |
| 1B | Ryon Healy | 0 | 0.0 |
| 2B | Jed Lowrie | 0 | 3.0 |
| 3B | Nolan Arenado | 1 | 28.7 |
| SS | Trevor Story | 0 | 6.0 |
| OF | Bryce Harper | 1 | 18.7 |
| OF | Nelson Cruz | 0 | 15.5 |
| OF | Gregory Polanco | 0 | 3.5 |
| Longshot | Luis Valbuena | 0 | 6.0 |
Overall Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 7.53 |
| 1B | 25 | 1 | 4.0% | 8.32 |
| 2B | 24 | 2 | 8.3% | 9.53 |
| SS | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 11.32 |
| 3B | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 16.90 |
| OF | 74 | 12 | 16.2% | 11.22 |
| Longshot | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 11.67 |
| Total | 219 | 37 | 16.9% | 11.02 |
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