Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (7/12)

Introduction

Tuesday’s lineup was mostly a dud. Six of the nine hitters on the list did manage to score at least 9.0 FanDuel points but the lineup was void of any homers to propel it up the standings. We’ll give it another shot on Thursday’s modest seven-game evenings slate, even though it doesn’t feel like a big home run night with numerous quality pitchers taking the mound.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

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Lineup

C – Yasmani Grandal (LAD) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $4,200) – I usually only recommend Grandal at home against righties but after getting the last two games off he should be well rested to take on his former team who he has hit 13 homers against in 49 career games.

1B – Steve Pearce (BOS) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Pearce is the BvP special of the day with his .357 average and five homers in 28 career at-bats against J.A. Happ.

2B – Max Muncy (LAD) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $4,900) – Muncy is an automatic HR option as long as he is listed at 2B on FanDuel (pivot to my Longshot at 2B on DraftKings). Muncy has a .331 ISO against righties this season and will face righty Tyson Ross who has allowed 15 runs (4 HR) over his last two starts.

SS – Jordy Mercer (PIT) (FanDuel: $2,200 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Shortstop is an absolute wasteland on Thursday’s slate so go for cheap HR potential with Mercer who hit a pair of doubles yesterday and has a .398 wOBA against lefties at home this season.

3B – Jose Ramirez (CLE) (FanDuel: $4,600 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Ramirez has three homers over his last two games and despite a tough matchup against Luis Severino, he has hit two homers off the young right-hander in 10 career at-bats.

OF – Nelson Cruz (SEA) (FanDuel: $3,700 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Cruz has hit two homers off Skaggs in 19 career at-bats, granted those are his only two hits off the lefty. Cruz does also have a .436 wOBA and .384 ISO against lefties this season going for him.

OF – Joc Pederson (LAD) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Pederson is the Dodgers leadoff man against righties and has crushed them all season with a .390 wOBA and .310 ISO.

OF – Teoscar Hernandez (TOR) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Hernandez has a .275 ISO against lefties this season and will face Red Sox left-hander David Price who has allowed nine homers over his last four starts.

Longshot – Hernan Perez (MIL) (FanDuel: $2,600 / DraftKings: $3,300) – Perez is a cheap 2B option on DK and has had a lot of success against Pirates right-hander Jameson Taillon in his career batting .333 with three homers in 18 at-bats.

Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Ross Stripling ($9,200), Jameson Taillon ($7,300)
DraftKings – Corey Kluber ($10,200), Ross Stripling ($9,100), Jameson Taillon ($5,700)

Results – Tuesday, July 12

Overall Results

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