Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (7/24)
Introduction
Tuesday brings us a big 14-game evening slate of MLB DFS action. There are plenty of good hitting environments and gas can pitchers to pick on for long balls and a few solid, cheap pitching options to pair up with the power bats. Let’s hit some moon shots tonight!
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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Lineup
C – Yadier Molina (STL) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Molina has a .409 average with three homers in 44 career at-bats against Homer Bailey.
1B – Mitch Moreland (BOS) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $4,400) – Moreland went deep last night and has a .375 wOBA and .244 ISO against right-handed pitchers this season.
2B – Rougned Odor (TEX) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,400) – Odor has 10 hits including a homer over his last five games and will play in the heat of Texas.
SS – Paul DeJong (STL) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $4,000) – DeJong has homered in eight career at-bats against Bailey and has a solid .333 wOBA and .174 ISO on the road this season.
3B – Eugenio Suarez (CIN) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $5,000) – Suarez went yard last night and has a .411 wOBA and .244 ISO at home against lefties this season.
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OF – George Springer (HOU) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $5,500) – Springer gets the Coors Field bump and appears to be heating up with three hits including a double and homer over his last two games.
OF – Khris Davis (OAK) (FanDuel: $3,700 / DraftKings: $5,100) – Speaking of heating up, Davis has three homers over his last two games and should stay not in Texas against a lefty.
OF – Nelson Cruz (SEA) (FanDuel: $3,700 / DraftKings: $4,000) – Cruz has crushed lefties, especially at home, with a .451 wOBA and massive .513 ISO this season.
Longshot – Chad Pinder (OAK) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $4,100) – Pinder has a .381 wOBA and .206 ISO against lefties this season and he’ll face Rangers southpaw Mike Minor who has served up 1.57 HR/9 to righties this year.
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Kyle Hendricks ($7,400), Eric Lauer ($7,400), Felix Pena ($7,100)
DraftKings – Zack Wheeler ($7,700), Kyle Hendricks ($7,200), Felix Pena ($5,500), Eric Lauer ($4,000)
Results – Thursday, July 12
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Yasmani Grandal | 0 | 0.0 |
| 1B | Steve Pearce | 0 | 3.0 |
| 2B | Max Muncy | 0 | 3.0 |
| 3B | Jose Ramirez | 1 | 28.2 |
| SS | Jordy Mercer | 0 | 32.2 |
| OF | Nelson Cruz | 0 | 6.0 |
| OF | Joc Pederson | 0 | 15.5 |
| OF | Teoscar Hernandez | 1 | 25.2 |
| Longshot | Hernan Perez | NA | NA |
Overall Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 8.97 |
| 1B | 34 | 2 | 5.9% | 8.02 |
| 2B | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 10.43 |
| SS | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12.92 |
| 3B | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 15.88 |
| OF | 100 | 18 | 18.0% | 11.20 |
| Longshot | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 10.85 |
| Total | 294 | 54 | 18.4% | 11.21 |
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