Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (7/3)
Introduction
Are you ready for some pre-4th of July fireworks? You should get some at MLB ballparks on Tuesday night as there are numerous teams in good spots to blast some balls over the fence. Enjoy the fireworks from my Swing for the Fences lineup for the 12-game evening slate.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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Lineup
C – Yan Gomes (CLE) (FanDuel: $2,700 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Gomes is batting .391 with three doubles and two homers off lefty Danny Duffy in 23 career at-bats.
1B – Brandon Belt (SF) (FanDuel: $3,700 / DraftKings: $5,500) – Huge park adjustment for Belt playing at Coors Field in good weather conditions facing a righty. Belt has a .419 wOBA and .280 ISO against righties this season.
2B – Scooter Gennett (CIN) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $4,900) – Gennett has pounded out five hits over his last two games and has a .401 wOBA and .228 ISO at home against righties this season.
SS – Manny Machado (BAL) (FanDuel: $4,500 / DraftKings: $5,000) – Machado has nine hits over his last five games including a pair of homers.
3B – Todd Frazier (NYM) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Frazier has a pair of homers and a .318 average against reverse-splits righty Marco Estrada in 22 career at-bats.
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OF – Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) (FanDuel: $4,600 / DraftKings: $5,100) – Stanton is an auto-play against a lefty with his .479 wOBA and .429 ISO versus southpaws this season.
OF – Nelson Cruz (SEA) (FanDuel: $4,100 / DraftKings: $5,300) – Cruz has hit two long balls in nine career at-bats against lefty Andrew Heaney and has a .466 wOBA and .418 ISO against lefties this season.
OF – Teoscar Hernandez (TOR) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Both Hernandez has a .271 ISO against righties at home this season and has homered once in two at-bats against righty Zack Wheeler earlier this season.
Longshot – Brandon Guyer (CLE) (FanDuel: $2,100 / DraftKings: $2,900) – Guyer is 7-for-14 with a pair of doubles and a homer off Duffy in his career.
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Chris Bassitt ($7,000), Domingo German ($6,500), Ryan Yarbrough ($6,100)
DraftKings – Anthony DeSclafani ($7,600), Chris Bassitt ($6,300), Ryan Yarbrough ($6,200)
Results – Monday, June 25
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Yasmani Grandal | 0 | 0.0 |
| 1B | Freddie Freeman | 0 | 6.2 |
| 2B | Ozzie Albies | 1 | 37.4 |
| 3B | Christian Villanueva | 0 | 3.0 |
| SS | Manny Machado | 0 | 12.2 |
| OF | Nelson Cruz | 0 | 6.0 |
| OF | Odubel Herrera | 0 | 3.0 |
| OF | Wil Myers | 0 | 0.0 |
| Longshot | Hunter Renfroe | 0 | 18.0 |
Overall Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 8.49 |
| 1B | 31 | 2 | 6.5% | 8.32 |
| 2B | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 10.22 |
| SS | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 12.24 |
| 3B | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 16.43 |
| OF | 91 | 15 | 16.5% | 10.80 |
| Longshot | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 10.67 |
| Total | 268 | 48 | 17.9% | 11.01 |
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