Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (8/1)

 

Today is the MLB trade deadline which could have some impact to DFS as it can free up some cheap options in starting lineups to fill in for the players that are on the move to new teams. This should allow DFS players to pay up for some stud bats such as the trio of outfielders that I list today.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

C – Mike Zunino (SEA) (FanDuel: $2,300 / DraftKings: $2,700) – Zunino has flashed some power since being recalled from the minors with three homers through his first nine games including one off a lefty in 10 plate appearances. Zunino will face Red Sox lefty Eduardo Rodriguez who has allowed 2.58 HR/9 so far this season.

1B – Kendrys Morales (KC) (FanDuel: $2,800 / DraftKings: $2,400) – Morales let me down on Friday but I am going back to him again tonight against Chris Archer who has been hurt by the long ball this season allowing 1.34 HR/9 to lefties. Morales has also gone 8-for-13 with three doubles and a homer off Archer in his career.

2B – Neil Walker (NYM) (FanDuel: $2,800 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Walker has been red-hot at the plate with four multi-hit efforts in his last five games including hitting a homer on Sunday. Meanwhile, CC Sabathia has allowed seven homers over his last seven starts.

SS – Xander Bogaerts (BOS) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $5,400) – Not many good options at shortstop tonight, so I will go with Bogaerts who has homered in three of his last five games and his in the middle of a breakout season for the Red Sox.

3B – Kris Bryant (CHC) (FanDuel: $4,300 / DraftKings: $4,900) – Bryant has a .383 ISO at home against lefties this season and will face Marlins lefty Adam Conley who has allowed all 10 of his homers to righties this season.

OF – Bryce Harper (WAS) (FanDuel: $4,200 / DraftKings: $4,700) – Harper gets a favorable park adjustment tonight going to Arizona to face Archie Bradley who has allowed 1.80 HR/9 to lefties at home so far in his brief career.

OF – Nelson Cruz (SEA) (FanDuel: $3,900 / DraftKings: $5,000) – Cruz is almost an autoplay when facing a lefty with a .369 ISO this season. Add in that he will face lefty Rodriguez who has allowed a 17.5% HR/FB rate with a 48.8% fly ball rate to righties this season and Cruz should go deep at least once.

OF – Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,400) – Stanton broke out of his slump in July batting .305 with seven homers. On a short slate if you can find the player that hits a couple bombs he can carry your team and Stanton has that potential.

Longshot – Preston Tucker (HOU) (FanDuel: $2,100 / DraftKings: $2,900) – Tucker is a true longshot tonight but with a cheap price tag and a career .220 ISO against righties he has a shot to take Blue Jays righty Marcus Stroman deep with his 1.23 HR/9 to lefties this season.

 

Friday, July 29 –  Results

Pos	Name	HR	FD Pts
C	Brian McCann	0	3.0
1B	Kendrys Morales	0	6.0
2B	Brian Dozier	0	15.2
SS	Brad Miller	0	21.4
3B	Todd Frazier		DNP
OF	George Springer	0	3.0
OF	Matt Kemp	0	9.0
OF	Corey Dickerson	1	22.2
Longshot	Alex Gordon	0	3.0

 

Season Results

Pos	Picks	HR	HR Rate	Avg FD Pts
C	20	8	40.0%	14.69
1B	19	4	21.1%	10.71
2B	20	1	5.0%	10.34
SS	20	4	20.0%	12.14
3B	19	4	21.1%	13.98
OF	60	19	31.7%	15.58
Longshot	12	2	16.7%	10.23
Total	170	42	24.7%	13.35

 

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