Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (8/1)

For Tuesday night’s 15-game slate, I am going to do something a little different with my home run predictions write up. I’m going to give a pair of hitters from four different teams who hit close together in their lineups, something I like to call “Suited Connectors”. This method gives you not only pair of hitters capable of hitting a home run but also some additional upside of a mini-stack to double-down on RBI and run points. The hitters on today’s list also offer some value that allows you to pay up into the strong mid-tier of pitching options on the slate.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

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Yankees vs Anibal Sanchez
Sanchez has allowed a 2.51 HR/9 and a 45.6% hard hit rate to righties this season.

C – Gary Sanchez (NYY) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $5,100) – Sanchez has a .216 ISO at home versus righties this year and
SS – Didi Gregorius (NYY) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $4,100) – Gregorius is 3-for-8 with a homer off Sanchez in his career and has a .236 ISO versus righties this season.
Longshot – Matt Holliday (NYY) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,500) – Holliday has been cold as his price reflects but he has gone 8-for-17 with a pair of homers off Sanchez in his career.

Rays vs Mike Fiers
Fiers has pitched better recently but has still given up four homers over his last four starts and has allowed 2.26 HR/9 to lefties this season.

1B – Logan Morrison (TB) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $3,400) – Morrison has a .310 ISO versus righties this season and is 6-for-12 with a homer off Fiers in his career.
OF – Corey Dickerson (TB) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $3,900) – Dickerson has also had some success against Fiers going 3-for-8 with a pair of doubles and a homer. He also socked two homers last night.

Mariners vs Nick Martinez
Martinez has allowed a .383 wOBA and 2.06 HR/9 to lefties this season.

2B – Robinson Cano (SEA) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $3,700) – Cano has a .260 ISO on the road versus right-handed pitcher this year and has hit one long ball in nine career at-bats against Martinez.
3B – Kyle Seager (SEA) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $4,000) – Seager has crushed Martinez going 7-for-11 with a pair of doubles and a home run. He also has four doubles over the last three games.

Orioles vs Ian Kennedy
Kennedy has given up 19 homers this season allowing 1.89 HR/9 to lefties and 1.45 HR/9 to righties.

OF – Seth Smith (BAL) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Smith has a .269 ISO at home versus righties this season and is batting .333 with four doubles and a homer off Kennedy in 27 career at-bats.
OF – Trey Mancini (BAL) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Mancini has a .394 wOBA and .257 ISO versus right-handed pitching this season.

Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Carlos Carrasco ($9,500), Jose Berrios ($9,200), Carlos Martinez ($9,100)
DraftKings – Carlos Carrasco ($9,800), Aaron Nola ($9,100), Carlos Martinez ($8,800), Jose Berrios ($7,700)

Friday, July 28 –  Results

Season Results

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