Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (8/31)

I put together a decent lineup on Monday with two homers and a couple other solid point totals out of the seven hitters that took the field that night. Today, I will examine the nine-game night slate which has a few home run prone pitchers we can pick on. Also, this week will be my last set of Swing for the Fences articles. I plan to write one final article on Friday and then will shift gears over to the NFL and provide some weekly DFS content.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

C – Wilson Ramos (WAS) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $4,100) – One common theme on today’s HR prediction list will be Nationals’ righties. Ramos leads things off as the top catcher option to go deep with a .311 ISO against lefties facing Phillies lefty Adam Morgan who has allowed 2.63 HR/9 to righties this season.

1B – Chris Davis (BAL) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,400) – Davis will face Blue Jays righty Aaron Sanchez making his first start in 11 days. Sanchez has allowed nine of his 11 homers to lefties this season and Davis has had success against Sanchez going 6-for-14 with a double and three homers.

2B – Ryan Schimpf (SD) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $4,600) – Schimpf is slugging 1.400 over his last five games with two homers, three triples and a double. He has hit 14 of his 16 homers against righties this season and will face Braves right-hander Matt Wisler who has allowed 1.61 HR/9 to lefties in his career.

SS – Danny Espinosa (WAS) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Espinosa is the second Nationals right-handed hitter to make the list against home run prone lefty Morgan who gave up three long balls in his last start. Meanwhile, Espinosa has a .269 ISO against lefties and has hit two homers off Morgan in six career at-bats.

3B – Jefry Marte (LAA) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Marte has flashed some power lately with five homers in August including two in the last three days. He has a .245 ISO against lefties this season and faces Reds lefty Brandon Finnegan who struggles with the long ball to righties allowing 26 of his 27 homers to righties this season.

OF – Mike Trout (LAA) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Trout is coming off back-to-back three-hit games including one homer. While he hits for more power against righties he will face lefty Finnegan who has allowed 2.08 HR/9 to righties this season and a Reds bullpen that has allowed a league-worst 1.66 HR/9 this season.

OF – Jayson Werth (WAS) (FanDuel: $3,900 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Werth rounds out the Nationals’ trio of right-handed bats today. He has crushed lefties with a .280 ISO and has gone deep in three of his last five games.

OF – Rajai Davis (CLE) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Davis went deep last night and is in a good spot again tonight against home run prone lefty Pat Dean who has allowed all nine of his homers to righties this season for a 2.13 HR/9 rate.

Longshot – Maikel Franco (PHI) (FanDuel: $2,400 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Franco has a .243 ISO against lefties this season and will face Nationals lefty Gio Gonzalez who has limited the long ball recently but has still allowed 1.17 HR/9 to righties this season.

 

Monday, August 29 –  Results

Pos	Name	HR	FD Pts
C	Evan Gattis	0	3.0
1B	Edwin Encarnacion	0	9.2
2B	Jose Altuve	1	18.7
SS	Addison Russell		DNP
3B	Kris Bryant	0	21.4
OF	J.D. Martinez	0	12.2
OF	Jose Bautista	1	18.7
OF	Brandon Guyer	0	0.0
Longshot	Tyler Collins		DNP

 

Season Results

Pos	Picks	HR	HR Rate	Avg FD Pts
C	30	11	36.7%	13.61
1B	31	6	19.4%	11.34
2B	31	5	16.1%	12.15
SS	30	5	16.7%	11.79
3B	31	7	22.6%	13.13
OF	96	24	25.0%	13.46
Longshot	23	3	13.0%	10.13
Total	272	61	22.4%	12.58

 

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