Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (8/5)

Are you ready for some football baseball!?!? The NFL preseason kicks off this weekend but we still have plenty of baseball to play this season including a nice 15-game slate of action tonight to “kickoff” the weekend.

FanDuel and DraftKings prices are listed for each player so you can gauge where players might be a better bargain. Also, note that positions listed are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

C – Evan Gattis (HOU) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Gattis has a .356 ISO at home against lefties this season and will be playing at home against Rangers’ lefty Martin Perez who has allowed a .350 wOBA and 1.04 HR/9 to righties.

1B – Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) (FanDuel: $4,200 / DraftKings: $4,700) – Goldschmidt always crushes Brewers’ pitching and he gets a juicy matchup in Arizona against former teammate Chase Anderson who has severe reverse splits this season allowing a .421 wOBA and 2.05 HR/9 to righties.

2B – Brian Dozier (MIN) (FanDuel: $3,800 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Dozier has been on fire batting .417 with five homers over his last five games. He has a huge .541 ISO on the road against lefties this season and will face Rays’ lefty Blake Snell in Tampa.

SS – Marcus Semien (OAK) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,300) – Semien has hit 10 of his 22 homers with a .330 ISO against southpaws this season. He will play at home against Cubs’ lefty Jon Lester who has struggled with the long ball on the road to righties allowing 1.66 HR/9.

3B – Kris Bryant (CHC) (FanDuel: $4,200 / DraftKings: $5,200) – Bryant has two-homer potential anytime he is facing a lefty with a .314 ISO against southpaws this season. He will face Athletics’ rookie lefty Dillon Overton who has allowed nine homers in just four starts.

OF – Marcell Ozuna (MIA) (FanDuel: $3,700 / DraftKings: $5,400) – There isn’t anything not to like about Ozuna tonight. He is playing at Coors Field. He has a .363 ISO against lefties this season. He has had great success against opposing pitcher Jorge De La Rosa going 4-for-8 with a double and three homers in his career.

OF – Jose Bautista (TOR) (FanDuel: $4,300 / DraftKings: $4,700) – Bautista has been hitting the ball hard since returning from the DL with a 57.9% hard hit rate over his last seven games including three homers. He will face the Royals’ Dillon Gee who has allowed 2.0 HR/9 to righties this season.

OF – Ian Desmond (TEX) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,400) – Desmond is batting .396 with a .226 ISO against lefties this season and will face Astros’ lefty Dallas Keuchel who has struggled with the long ball to righties this season allowing 1.24 HR/9. Desmond has also hit Keuchel well in his career going 6-for-12 with a double and two homers.

Longshot – Mark Teixeira (NYY) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,000) – Teixeira got the day off yesterday and I like hitters the day after an off day. He is dirt cheap and will likely bat in the middle of the Yankees’ lineup against Indians’ righty Josh Tomlin who has allowed 2.13 HR/9 to lefties this season.

 

Monday, August 1 –  Results

Pos	Name	HR	FD Pts
C	Mike Zunino		DNP
1B	Kendrys Morales	1	21.7
2B	Neil Walker	0	0.0
SS	Xander Bogaerts	0	0.0
3B	Kris Bryant	0	0.0
OF	Bryce Harper	0	18.6
OF	Nelson Cruz	0	3.0
OF	Giancarlo Stanton	0	3.0
Longshot	Preston Tucker	0	0.0

 

Season Results

Pos	Picks	HR	HR Rate	Avg FD Pts
C	20	8	40.0%	14.69
1B	20	5	25.0%	11.26
2B	21	1	4.8%	9.85
SS	21	4	19.0%	11.56
3B	20	4	20.0%	13.29
OF	63	19	30.2%	15.23
Longshot	13	2	15.4%	9.44
Total	178	43	24.2%	13.01

 

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