Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (8/8)
My “Bizzaro Day” attempt on Friday where I picked all cheap “Longshot” options didn’t pan out the way I had hoped. Oh well, they were all longshots, after all, I guess I can’t be too disappointed in the results. Tuesday features a full 15-game slate of MLB action to go hunting for homers. Returning to a more normal format today but with just a list of players (short on time) but you know the drill the player I recommend has some combination of a good matchup or ballpark or weather or BvP or I just have a hunch.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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C – Austin Hedges (SD) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,300)
1B – Freddie Freeman (ATL) (FanDuel: $3,900 / DraftKings: $4,800)
2B – Jose Altuve (HOU) (FanDuel: $4,200 / DraftKings: $5,400)
SS – Marwin Gonzalez (HOU) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $4,600)
3B – Jake Lamb (ARI) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $4,600)
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OF – Mike Trout (LAA) (FanDuel: $5,100 / DraftKings: $5,600)
OF – Steven Pearce (TOR) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $3,900)
OF – Hunter Renfroe (SD) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $3,800)
Longshot – Scooter Gennett (CIN) (FanDuel: $2,400 / DraftKings: $3,800)
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Chad Kuhl ($6,300), Austin Pruitt ($5,800)
DraftKings – Michael Wacha ($8,600), Zack Godley ($7,600), Chad Kuhl ($6,800), Austin Pruitt ($5,200)
Friday, August 4 – “Bizzaro Day” Results
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Robinson Chirinos | NA | NA |
| 1B | Tyler Moore | 0 | 3.0 |
| 2B | Brad Miller | 0 | 0.0 |
| 3B | Luis Valbuena | NA | NA |
| SS | Jordy Mercer | 0 | 15.4 |
| OF | Chris Young | 0 | 6.5 |
| OF | Jake Marisnick | 0 | 6.5 |
| OF | Sean Rodriguez | 0 | 3.0 |
| Longshot | Mike Trout | 0 | 18.5 |
Season Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 11.26 |
| 1B | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 11.58 |
| 2B | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 10.98 |
| SS | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 14.40 |
| 3B | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 8.89 |
| OF | 92 | 22 | 23.9% | 12.09 |
| Longshot | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 11.55 |
| Total | 264 | 58 | 22.0% | 11.67 |
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