The first two props I like are Lamar Jackson O56.5 rushing -115 and Lamar anytime TD +132 Lamar has rushed for over 57 yards every game this season. With no sign of slowing down, Jackson is not showing me a reason to think he won’t get at least that on Sunday. His ability to rush the football has only translated into a touchdown once this year, but with over 100 rushing yards in two games, I do not see this trend lasting much longer.
Tony Pollard O35.5 rushing yards
In four of the five games, Pollard has played this season he has gotten well over the 25-yard threshold. The share of rushing responsibility that he has had with Ezekiel Elliott has given him the ability to get over 40 yards in all but one of his starts. This will also be Dak Prescott’s first game back from the injury he suffered in the Cowboys’ inaugural game. This makes it more likely for the Dallas offense to keep the ball on the ground, not wanting to expose their franchise QB to another possible injury.
Raheem Mostert O14.5 rushing attempts
Mostert tends to hover around the 14 attempts per game area, making this a tricky prop. The reason I think this is a good bet is that this will be Tua’s first game back from injury. With Tua having to be taken out of the last two games he’s started in I expect them to protect him as much as possible by keeping the ball on the ground and in Mostert’s hands.
Pat Mahomes O19.5 rushing yards
Although Mahomes is not particularly a rushing Quarterback, he is perfectly capable of running the ball when needed. There has only been one game this season that he has not had more than 20 rushing yards. With the game in San Francisco expected to be close he may also feel pressure to put the team on his back and make spectacular plays to give them a better chance at winning. It would not be unusual for Mahomes to pick up 20 yards after scrambling for him to easily hit the over.
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