The Game Plan For Week 11 (#FantasyFootball)

Fine readers of the Going For 2 fanbase my name is @TheBLeagueSays and I absolutely cannot promise you I will hit again like I did last week, it’s a rarity so take it for the fluke that it was! This week I will still give you some plays to make in regards to your Fantasy team’s weekly roster construction, DFS selections or Dynasty evaluations.

So before we get started, Thank you, and enjoy!

Slant Route

Who is trending up this week?

I told you. I told you. I told you:

That the Titans were on at home to the Chiefs in Week 10. And here they are not only covering the spread but getting the chocolates at home.

Ryan Tannehill has not just steadied the ship, he’s moving it in the right direction. He has three wins in his last four games, got the team to .500, and he gets the week off due to the Bye Round before a divisional showdown with the Jaguars in Week 12. The Colts host the Jaguars this week are on a 2-game losing streak themselves, have allowed the Titans with Tannehill under center to catch up, now get Jacoby Brissett returning from injury could get the job done this week against a returning Nick Foles also, whose motivation to quiet the ‘Gardner Minshew‘ truthers as well will be at the forefront of his mind.

Either way, it’s the Titans that stand to benefit with a winnable month ahead of them (vs Jaguars, at Colts, at Raiders, vs Texans) and could (if only) by a glimmer of hope see themselves in the ‘wild card’ picture if their form continues. That means while the Titans are off this week with another three teams also out of action, it could be the opportune time to buy some A.J. Brown and/or Jonnu Smith from those who may need the help setting a lineup. They are currently the WR37 and TE20 respectively on the @GoingFor_2 dynasty rankings. 

Flat Route

The bubble has burst on:

I told you. I told you. I told you:

That last week the Browns would be the trap game on the road for Buffalo, and it came to fruition as the Bills stumbled towards a 16-19 loss in a game that looked like it lacked any real rhythm and flow.

But, bursting of a bubble might seem stiff on this one and for that I somewhat apologize, however on the road the Bills have failed to put up over 20 in 75% of their matchups (thanks to my Giants who they nailed 28 points against at Metlife, yet at the same stadium a week earlier managed only the 17 against the Jets). Now they are on the road to a familiar foe in the Miami Dolphins, who at home only a few weeks back they got the better of the Ryan Fitzpatrick-led outfit 31-21. But that was at home, and Miami, are enjoying a 2 game win streak themselves, but more importantly, have kept teams under 18 points in those wins also. So with all this said I’m going to go back to the well on Buffalo.

Kind of.

I do believe the Bills will win, however, I think the -6 against the spread is too tight, and I also think as the week goes on, the Bills may push back to -7 to -7.5, and in that case, I think Miami covers and can get within 4 to 6 points. I also believe that this matchup will be closer than we expect; which means with the O/U currently at 41 I’m taking the ‘under’ also. 

Comeback Route

Who will recover after a poor performance in the previous week:

I don’t know what parallel universe was on tv when the Saints got spanked by the 1-7 Falcons this week, but I don’t think we see what performance from them again anytime soon. So, the cure for what ails you lately is what again? 

A road trip out to Tampa is what!

This week Tampa got their first home win this year against Arizona in a 30-27 shoot out. But at home, they’ve also coughed up 31 points to San Francisco, 32 points to the Giants and 37 points to Carolina. And a scorned Sean Payton might just go ham this week against the leagues worst defense against Wide Receivers (32.5 ppg), who also just axed Vernon Hargreaves who was battered by Christian Kirk last week.

Drew Brees is coming in at $6900 on Draft Kings and I love the matchup so I get why you’d want to throw him in because the matchup is prime. But I’d rather pay down for someone like Derek Carr ($6100 vs Cincinnati) or Kyle Allen ($5300 vs Atlanta). But again, the matchup and the player are ripe so I get it.

Michael Thomas sits at $9900 and as I have mentioned how bad the Buccaneers are against the Wide Receiver position, he could go bananas, so again I get paying up in this instance might be something you opt for. But if you like cheaper flex options I like Ted Ginn ($4100) and Tre’Quan Smith ($3800) for you to squeeze into your lineup while still getting some of the action in this matchup. Jared Cook is also priced at $4400 as Tampa also struggles against the Tight End position (11.7 ppg).

Screen Route

The contrarian play of the week:

Well, I’ve already given you Miami (in some capacity if you read between the lines) this week as a play, what more do you want?

More, still? Alrighty then…

Everyone hates the 2019 Chicago Bears. Everyone hates Mitchell Trubisky. Everyone hates Matt Nagy’s play-calling. And the four-game losing run they were on was as uninspiring as any. They had a gritty win against Detroit last week (I get it – against a backup Quarterback – I know, I know), and if we have seen anything from this team, it’s going to be games won in that fashion.

Gritty (there’s that word again) is also what just beat the L.A. Rams this week too, as the Pittsburgh Steelers ran them through the mill (steel reference, bam) and stifled anything they tried to do. The made Jared Goff look elementary. Cooper Kupp had nothing, literally nothing all game. That is the way forward for the Bears, by applying the age-old saying ‘the best form of offense is your best defense’. That’s how the saying goes right? No? Well, that’s what I’m saying. Quote me.

I’m not sure the spread stays at -6.5 in the Rams favor at this point of the week – that needle will move also – but I’d suggest anything from +7.5 or more at this point feels like a good risk to take on the Bears to cover this week.

Out Route

Who am I completely off this week:

We can write the Broncos off this week.

The Vikings are red hot at the moment, and although Brandon Allen didn’t disgrace himself against Cleveland in Week 9, this Vikings defense is a different animal. 

Chris Harris will be on Stefon Diggs, so I’m fading him this week, but I like Dalvin Cook (shocker) at $8900 if paying up is something you to do at Running Back, and the Vikings DST at $3400 has to be a lock in your Draft Kings lineup also.

The 9 Route

A straight forward confidence play of the week:

I told you. I told you. I told you:

That on the ground that Lamar Jackson and Mark Ingram would dominate the Bengals and that Mark Andrews would have his way – and they all did. So if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it!

The Bengals are going to get hammered by the Raiders in Oakland this week, and Josh Jacobs will take what the above mentioned Jackson and Ingram did in Week 10 and run with it (get it) also. Lock him in for 24 carries over 110 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground. And while we are also at it, Darren Waller is going to grab a touchdown, his first since Week 8, and champion through to an 8-6-65-1 afternoon.

Easy.

Hail Mary Play Of The Week

I told you. I told you. I told you:

Already that last week I rode the Titans and Derrick Henry was in for a big week. Now I could go back to the well to follow the same pattern and suggest that the Chargers at home will do the same to the Chiefs and that Melvin Gordon is going to go off (he will) in a similar to same fashion. 

So I’m going to go down a different ‘route’ (get it) here.

With Chris Herndon now on the IR, we will see more Ryan Griffin going forward. Griffin is an efficient unit in regards to Red Zone targets with an 80% conversion rate (12th overall amongst tight ends with at least three Red Zone targets) and 4 touchdowns (tied for third-most at the position) to go with it too. This week he travels to Washington who, to be fair, has been solid against the Tight End position giving up merely an average 6.1 ppg. 

I don’t believe the yards will be there (he may hit 25 to 40 yards maximum, don’t be shocked at that), but I see the Jets getting their fair share of Red Zone opportunities; so I’m plugging Ryan Griffin in for 3 Red Zone targets for 2 touchdowns this week, the second multi-touchdown game he will have for the season.

Bone for tuna!

I want to thank you for getting this far and taking in everything I have presented. You can as always follow and find me at @TheBLeagueSays and offer any view or conversation about this. Don’t forget to check out the #GF2 weekly rankings which you can find https://goingfor2.com/2019-fantasy-football-redraft-rankings-gf2-consensus/ and to subscribe, rate, review, and share and listen to The Armchair Fantasy Show podcast.

Let’s all get better together!

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