The Game Plan For Week 11 (#FantasyFootball)
Going For 2 readers my name is @TheBLeagueSays and in this week’s ‘Game Plan’, I will give to you some plays to make for seasonal and daily roster construction, prop bets, and dynasty evaluations. Before you make any start and sit decisions this weekend make sure you check out our weekly rankings also.
Thank you, and enjoy!
Slant Route
Holy crustacean, Batman, boy wonder’s back!:
Now we can make all the jokes we want about Jameis Winston and his offseason workouts and some of the shocking things he has said and done in the past but the reality is this: for a few weeks – and maybe even longer if Drew Brees doesn’t recover quick enough – Jameis Winston has the keys to the Ferrari. This same Ferrari is what got Teddy Bridgewater paid by Carolina this offseason and could well steer Winston on that same trajectory also if he shows up and does what he can do. This will be a solid chunk of games for Winston to audition for a more expansive role, and what better launching pad than a home game against the Atlanta Falcons with who Winston is fairly familiar.
For what it’s worth, Winston has thrown for less than 3 touchdowns in a game against the Falcons only once since 2016, he has thrown for less than 260 yards only once against the Falcons in a game since 2016, he has had less than 18 fantasy points only once against the Falcons in nine contests and has had more than 24 fantasy points in six out of those nine appearances also. The only thing that can make you happier is knowing he faces them twice in the next three weeks.
Flat Route
Tight Ends… All the Tight Ends:
Except for Travis Kelce and Darren Waller, those two have been fantastic. But there are currently only nine tight ends with an average of over 10.0 PPG and only eight tight ends that hold an average of over six targets per game, so finding one to give you any value whatsoever is tough at the best of times. However, quietly plugging along the precipice of both of these quantities is Dalton Schultz, who averages 9.3 PPG and 6.1 targets per game as well. This week Schultz ($3600) and his Dallas Cowboys (with Andy Dalton back in command) face Minnesota on the road who have an OPRK of 19th to the position. And while that might not seem that tempting, the highest-priced tight end in the early games is Mark Andrews who is averaging 11.0 PPG at $4900. Schultz is a way for you to get (I guess) some upside while saving money at a relatively futile position.
Comeback Route
You gotta put the last month behind you:
Seattle plays Arizona this Thursday night, and this article comes out on Friday’s so the dilemma of talking about a team who could well get a win before I go on a spiel is real but that’s ok, I’ll carry on regardless. The Seahawks have won once in their last four outings including a loss to their opponent this week Arizona in that same span, and two of those three losses have been to divisional rivals. Looking into their future it’s not all doom and gloom because that schedule of theirs gets uber light sooner than later, including three teams in the NFC East (Eagles, Giants, and Football Team), the Jets, and a chance to pin back each of the teams in the NFC West who round out the rest of their schedule.
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Before their dip in form after Week 6, Russell Wilson was probably one of the favorites for the NFL M.V.P. honors and is still sitting around $3.25 to take the crown, and the Seahawks who dropped to third in the NFC West (by default, both Arizona and the L.A. Rams have the same win/loss numbers, but a better divisional record), are now $2.75 to win their division and $4.25 to win the NFC Championship. If the Seahawks are to achieve the loftiest of heights, it will be because of the ‘unlimited’ one. Get on board if you feel like he can kick on.
FWIW: Seattle gets the win at home against Arizona 28-21. Russell Wilson logged an efficient 197 passing yards with two touchdowns, along with 42 yards rushing as well. This temporarily moves them back to the top of the NFC West, as they await the result of the Rams/Buccaneers game on Monday night.
Screen Route
The worst is behind them, I think:
But the form team of the NFC East is indeed the New York Giants who are on the bye as well as a two-game win streak. Daniel Jones hasn’t turned the ball over in two consecutive weeks and over the past month is the QB12 on a PPG basis (18.74), and Wayne Gallman in that same period of time sees himself as the RB3 overall (no, I’m not joking) too. There is no denying the start of their season was brutal while facing, quite frankly, some of the best defenses in the league and for sure the Giants, Jones et al under a new regime were all exposed.
What you may like to know is that they have some winnable matchups which should be high scoring affairs in their next month ahead with Cincinnati, Seattle, Arizona, and Cleveland in their future, so I’d suggest scouring your waiver wire to see if any of the ‘Big Blue’ players are free to pick up. I’m aware that some/most leagues have trade deadlines and that’s cool, but if you don’t, trying to get a few pieces of their offense should be imperative.
Out Route
I want off this ride:
To the point where N’Keal Harry is pretty much droppable in every format, right? No really, what value does he actually have aside from rookie draft capital? There have been better (and worse) wide receivers taken in the first round like he was that also haven’t panned out, and it’s not like the quality of quarterback is a problem either – just ask Jakobi Meyers, he’s done just fine with Tom Brady and now Cam Newton. Normally I’d have something promising to say to give you some hope or promise that maybe his circumstance gets better. Maybe he gets cut or traded and maybe wherever else he lands they get the best out of him instead, that’s the best possible scenario because the situation he has found himself in right now can’t be it. I’m legit at a loss here, so you tell me: what would you want to move N’Keal Harry off your roster or better yet, what would you give to get him because, for me, there aren’t enough 2024 5th round picks to throw at him.
The Go Route
It’s gotta be this week:
For one of the most frustrating fantasy players this season in Marquise Brown. He had a really impressive rookie campaign and was a darling for the pundits this offseason to potentially crack the WR1 barrier in his follow up year. The letdown, however, has been massive with Brown sitting in as the WR51 with an average of 6.1 PPG while holding only two games this year with over 10 points. In any format where you have picked up Brown (daily, weekly, best ball, dynasty) you must be disappointed in a guy that holds over 23% of his team’s targets and done minimally with it which gives you an idea of how even a small snapshot of something like this would suggest that the Ravens this year appear a little ‘off’.
But don’t worry, ‘Uncle B League’ is here to hold you and tell you that it’s ok and this week Brown ($5800) is in a smash spot against the Tennessee Titans who are giving up the 6th most points to wide receivers (27.5 PPG) which includes the second-most targets and receptions, with the third-most yards through eleven weeks. The tasty matchups after this week don’t end which include Pittsburgh (12th most points to receivers), Dallas (2nd most points to receivers), Cleveland (5th most points to receivers), Jacksonville (8th most points receivers) with his ‘worst matchup’ left for the year not coming until Week 16 against the… New York Giants who have given up the 16th most points to wide receivers. Get ready for a month of madness from the second-year receiver – his time is now.
Hail Mary
Can’t spell elite without ‘FLACCO’:
The Jets, are not good, let’s get that out of the way first. And I’m legit feeling the regret in my fingers as I type this, but one of my favorite cheap stacks this week is Joe Flacco ($5000) with Breshad Perriman ($4300) at home against the L.A. Chargers. The last time they played against the Patriots they connected as Flacco popped off for 21.5 points which included 262 yards and three touchdowns, while Perriman came up with 30.1 fantasy points of his own and a 7-5-101-2 stat line off that effort as it were. The Chargers have an OPRK of 27th, and while the Chargers are generally stingy against receivers, we saw that once Perriman breaks away there’s no catching him. They’re both cheap enough to help you load up elsewhere, and are playing in a game they’ll likely chase. So… why not!
I want to thank you for checking this article out! As always you can follow me at @TheBLeagueSays and feel free to check out my @BackRowGiants podcast out (https://linktr.ee/TheBLeagueSays) – subscribe, rate, review, share, and listen.
Let’s all get better together!
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