The NFL DFS Value Vault for Week 9, Sunday 11/06/2016

Every week, I’ll be presenting some of the best value plays of the week, for both Fanduel and DraftKings. If you’re going to enter a successful lineup, you’re going to need some good, lower priced players to offset the salaries of some of the high-priced studs, who get you the big numbers. I wouldn’t go completely overboard with these players, but one or two, sprinkled through your lineups, will make your salary money stretch a lot further.

As the season moves along, value gets a little harder to find and most is based on injuries to starters. If the starter is questionable (or even doubtful) to play, make sure to confirm they’re out prior to kickoff.

QB Colin Kaepernick (FD $7,200 /DK $5,600) Kaepernick will be cash game gold this week, as well as a decent GPP play. In FanDuel cash games, we look for 2X value, so Kaepernick would need 14.4 points. He’s averaged 75 yards rushing in his two starts, so if he merely does that, he’s more than halfway to value before he’s even thrown a pass. The Saints defense is terrible, they are ranked 28th in the NFL against both the run and the pass. Finally, this game features a juicy 52.5 point O/U.

RB Charcandrick West (FD $5,600 / DK$4,400) This pick hinges on the availability of Spencer Ware, who is in the league’s concussion protocol at this time. Make sure Ware is ruled out before finalizing your line-ups. The Jaguars pretty good against the pass, but ranked 27th against the run. With QB Alex Smith already ruled out, Nick Foles will get the start, and with Jags much better against the pass, the Chiefs should rely heavily on their running game in this one.

RB Darren Sproles (FD $4,800 /DK $3,900) Doug Pederson and the Eagles coaches finally figured out that Ryan Mathews isn’t very good and Wendell Smallwood can’t be trusted because of fumbling issues. Therefore, they turned to Sproles, who had a season high 15 carries last week. The Giants are pretty good versus the run, coming in at 12th in the NFL, so I wouldn’t get too carried away with Sproles on FanDuel. However, with his heavy involvement in the passing game, he makes a great play on full PPR sites like DraftKings.

WR Donte Moncrief (FD $6,100 /DK $5,8000)  Moncrief finally returned for the first time since week 2 and was targeted 9 times, with TY Hilton limited with a hamstring injury. Moncrief is a nice value regardless of Hilton’s status. however if Hilton were to miss the game, Moncrief would become an even better value. Green Bay has what’s referred to as a “funnel defense;” they’re great against the run, ranking 3rd but lag against the pass ranking 16th. The Packers will be missing 3 DBs  and the game features the highest O/U on the slate at 54.

WR Michael Thomas (FD $5,800/ DK $5,500) Rookie Michael Thomas is quietly becoming one of Drew Brees favorites, accounting for 44 targets in the last 5 games. During that span, Thomas has 32 receptions for 386 yards and 3 TDs against some very good defenses. The San Francisco 49ers do not have a very good defense, the are ranked 20th against the pass by Football Outsiders. As I mentioned earlier, the game features a 52.5 point O/U.

TE Kyle Rudolph (FD $5,000 /DK $4,400) Even though the Vikings offense has been disappointing this season, based on the match-up and a thin TE position due to the bye week, I expect Rudolph to be the chalk play. At least if you have to eat chalk, let it be cheap chalk. Rudolph is second on the team in targets with 54 through 7 games. He’ll face a Lions defense which is ranked dead last against the pass, 27th against opposing TEs and have allowed 8 TDs to opposing TEs on the season.

ATTN Dynasty Commissioners: Do you want to do something cool for your league? How about a 1-hour live show dedicated to YOUR league? Team-by-team breakdowns, rankings, and more. For details and to book a show, visit: GoingFor2.com/plp.