Swing for the Fences: DFS Home Run Predictions (June 24)

Not a big home run day on Wednesday with just one long ball but it was from a low-owned source in Eugenio Suarez so hopefully it helped propel your lineup up the leaderboard. Tonight we have a full 15-game slate to examine and surprisingly only one recommendation from the game at Coors Field.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

C – Welington Castillo (ARI) – Let’s get my one Coors Field play out of the way right off the bat at catcher with Castillo who has mashed lefties with a .352 ISO this season and faces Rockies lefty Tyler Anderson at Coors Field.

1B – Wil Myers (SD) – Myers has already reached a career-high with 16 homers this season and will get to face Reds rookie lefty Cody Reed who gave up two homers in his first big league start and has a favorable park adjustment playing in Cincinnati tonight.

2B – Starlin Castro (NYY) – Castro continues to show power this season including a walk-off homer on Wednesday. He holds a .188 ISO against lefties this season and will face Twins lefty Tommy Milone at Yankee Stadium who has given up 1.21 HR/9 to righties in his career.

SS – Manny Machado (BAL) – Fresh off his suspension, Machado comes back in a good spot against Rays home run prone lefty Matt Moore who has given up 1.77 HR/9 to righties this season.

3B – Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – Rodriguez has a significantly better ISO against lefties this season (.245) and has had great success against Tommy Milone hitting 4-for-9 with two homers.

OF – Matt Kemp (SD) – Kemp homered yesterday and will look to make it two days in a row against Reds lefty Cody Reed and the weak Reds bullpen. Kemp has eight homers and a .400 ISO against lefties this season.

OF – Bryce Harper (WAS) – Harper has hit two homers over his last seven games and will get a favorable park adjustment going to Milwaukee tonight. He will face Brewers righty Zach Davies who has pitched well lately but is still allowing 1.21 HR/9 at home to lefties.

OF – Mookie Betts (BOS) – Betts has been great this season with 36 extra-base hits in 72 games including 12 homers against righties for a .530 slugging percentage. With the Red Sox as the highest projected run total outside of Coors Field today, Betts is a good “bet” to put up a big stat line and potentially go deep.

Longshot – Chris Carter (MIL) If there is one thing that Max Scherzer has struggled with this it is the long ball allowing 1.46 HR/9 to righties. Meanwhile, Carter has smacked 10 of his 18 homers this season at home against righties.

 

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Wednesday, June 22 – Results

Pos Name HR FD Pts
C Victor Martinez 0 3.0
1B Chris Davis 0 6.5
2B Ian Kinsler 0 3.0
SS Eduardo Nunez 0 12.5
3B Eugenio Suarez 1 34.7
OF Mitch Moreland 0 3.5
OF Adam Jones 0 12.4
OF Robbie Grossman 0 9.2
Longshot Prince Fielder 0 10.0

 

Season Results

Pos Picks HR HR Rate Avg FD Pts
C 13 4 30.8% 12.24
1B 11 1 9.1% 6.25
2B 12 0 0.0% 10.24
SS 12 2 16.7% 11.43
3B 12 4 33.3% 15.38
OF 37 11 29.7% 15.83
Longshot 7 2 28.6% 11.26
Total 104 24 23.1% 12.85

 

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