2018 Fantasy Football Breakout Candidate: Mitch Trubisky
QB Mitch Trubisky | Chicago Bears | 2nd Year
2017 Stats: 2,193 passing yds, 7 TD, 7 INT; 248 rush yds, 2 TD
A year after the Philadelphia Eagles added significant pieces around their second-year quarterback in Carson Wentz, the Chicago Bears followed the same template with Mitch Trubisky this offseason. Wide receivers were added in free agency (Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel) and the draft (Anthony Miller), along with tight end Trey Burton in free agency. Chicago also used an early draft pick on offensive lineman James Daniels, to upgrade Trubisky’s protection.
Trubisky played in and started 12 games as a rookie last year, and Pro Football Focus graded him better than fellow first-round pick Deshaun Watson. That aside, Trubisky ended on a good note in terms of fantasy production.
After a Week 9 bye Trubisky posted at least 10.9 fantasy points (ESPN scoring) in five of the next seven games last year, with at least 10 fantasy points in six of those seven weeks. Week 17 was not as good (178 passing yards; 7.3 fantasy points), but it was also not meaningful to most fantasy owners. Over the final eight games overall, Trubisky showed some progress by completing 63.2 percent his passes (59.4 percent for the season).
Having a far more offensive-oriented head coach in Matt Nagy will benefit the Bears’ offense, and of course Trubisky. If wide receiver Kevin White can somehow stay on the field, the seventh overall pick in 2015 will bring another potential weapon for Chicago.
At this early stage, Trubisky is going off the board at QB24 in Fantasy Football Calculator mock drafts and he’s in the same mock draft position on Fantasy Pros That’s a testament to how deep the quarterback position is, as much as anything, but Trubisky is looking to be a worthy QB2 in 12-team leagues with the potential to finish as a low-end QB1.
Mitch Trubisky 2018 Projection: 3,525 passing yards, 23 TDs; 330 rushing yards and 2 TDs
Breakout Percentage: 67%
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