The Game Plan For Week 12 (#FantasyFootball)

Fine readers of the Going For 2 fanbase my name is @TheBLeagueSays and I will give to you some plays to make this week in regards to your Fantasy teams weekly roster construction, DFS selections or Dynasty evaluations.

So before we get started, Thank you, and enjoy!

Slant Route

Who is trending up this week?

Derrius Guice.

Congratulations on attaining your first touchdown at home for Washington. It’s been set back after set back and seeing this young man who everyone seems to love, have some luck finally on his side turn in a good performance is one of the feel-good moments of the year.

But.

Nows the time to capitalize on it.

Detroit stinks against Running Backs and Running Backs who can catch a ball. Tony Pollard did it last week, so did Ezekiel Elliott. And if playing Tight Ends against Arizona is a thing, then pass-catching running backs against Detroit has to be the other. They’ve allowed an average of 103.4 yards per game on the ground with 17 touchdowns conceded to that position in both phases of the game.

Guice is coming in at $4600 on Draft Kings and there aren’t many better matchups this week than this.

Flat Route

The bubble has burst on:

Carolina and good night Kyle Allen. Atlanta smoked Carolina away from home for their second massive win on the trot. But I’m not here to talk about Atlanta. Or Christian McCaffrey. Or their young stud Wide Receivers. 

There are two guys that Carolina will turn to very soon, and that will be last year’s 4th round pick, Tight End Ian Thomas. And this year’s 3rd round pick, Quarterback Will Grier.

At some point the Panthers will have to turn the page on this season – and hey, they are still in for a chance at a wild card spot and a good run of results – who knows, right, anything is possible.

But in dynasty, both of these guys are dormant on their rosters and once the season is done I can imagine a world where they start getting more work. Our consensus dynasty rankings @GoingFor_2 have them at QB43 and TE24 respectively.

Comeback Route

Who will recover after a poor performance in the previous week:

Legitimately, I’m either talking about the Buccaneers at Atlanta, the Patriots vs Dallas, the Panthers (again) or the Rams at home to the Ravens.

I can’t even deal with Tampa anymore, and the Rams and Panthers are shot. So I guess I’m talking about the Patriots, who churned out a tough win away at Philadelphia?

Traditionally, a Patriots and Eagles matchup is always close. So I’m not holding it against them, but I do think that Dallas will cause the Patriots enough grief to get Tom Brady out of his shell. And by a shell, I mean for Tom Brady this has to be a James White week – who is cruising along at $5300 on Draft Kings this week.

Dallas is coughing up the 8th most receptions to Running Backs this year (6.2 average receptions to the position per week) with roughly 51 yards per week through the air. White has had a slight dip in form over the past few weeks (don’t we say that about him in the middle of the year, every year?) but he’s still averaging 5.3 receptions and about 47 receiving yards per game which seems right up his alley as a floor play this week. While the Cowboys do give up 25.5 ppg to the Running Back position per week, I believe that James White can get back on track and cause matchup problems for Dallas.

Screen Route

The contrarian play of the week:

The Jets are at home and have put up 34 points in back-to-back weeks. And the Raiders have done fantastic this year and probably the shock team of the season as they sit one game off the Chiefs who are at the top of the West. Yes, they are on a hell of a run as well, however, the Raiders have also allowed an average of 25 ppg to the opposition and have also allowed an average of 31 ppg against on the road. They’ve only tasted victory once on the road this year out of 4 games (which was in London mind you, so the Colts would feel stiff about this) and have an average margin of 13.3 points in those losses too.

I do like the ‘Overs’ of 46.5 landing. However, the -3 start that the Raiders have been given I think is a bit rich, as well as the money line of the Jets at $2.40.

I’ll have the Jets for the win, to cover the spread and to hit the ‘Overs’ with the Raiders this week.

Out Route

Who am I completely off this week:

The Steelers at Cincinnati. No thanks. I’m not touching this one… Yikes!

Mason Rudolph may well have lost this locker room with his antics last week, and he’s barely connected with his Receivers this year since he took the reigns, at times it has been rough to watch.

You can’t trust the Steelers backfield, they always seem banged up. James Conner has already been ruled out for this week, and Benny Snell barely practiced this week too.

JuJu Smith-Schuster has also already been ruled out, with Diontae Johnson just clearing the concussion protocol has to still be a concern. And hey, maybe the Johnny Holton game is coming this week, right?

The age-old ‘break out year’ for Vance McDonald will have to wait another year also, it’s not like he’s 30 or anything… He’s 29? Well, he still qualifies in that statement though, right? Sweet!

So on the Steelers side, there isn’t much to hope for.

Then there are the Bengals… finally Joe Mixon scores a rushing touchdown. Don’t worry, its only Week 12 – it’s better late than never right? Right! Tyler Boyd has fizzled out, Auden Tate is in the concussion protocol. Tyler Eifert is nonexistent. Crazy that this has happened to both teams not only this week but this year.

Hard, hard pass for me.

The 9 Route

A straight forward confidence play of the week:

Seattle at Philadelphia is a lock for points.

The Eagles secondary can be had every week, giving up the 4th most points to the Wide Receiver at an average of 27 ppg, and the Seahawks are giving up the 8th most points to the Tight End at just about 9 ppg.

So if anyone is worried about their Russell Wilson, Carson Wentz, Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf, Josh Gordon, Zach Ertz and/or Dallas Goedert plays this week you can sleep easy and plug them all in.

No, really. Plug them in. Sleep easy.

Hail Mary Play Of The Week

I’m in a New York state of mind this week, and can you blame me? The tree at the ‘Roc’ is going up, cinnamon is on everything, and I’ve just booked Franks Steakhouse for new years out on the island (if you haven’t been there I promise you it’s the best skirt steak you’ll ever have and knock it down with a vintage red). And it’s with these sentiments I think there will be a clean sweep for the ‘New Yorkers’ (I get it, two of them are based in New Jersey, I know, I know).

So I’ve hit the Moneyline this week in a 3 team parlay, via mybookie.ag:

• Buffalo will get the win ($1.50) at home with the ‘Overs’ set at 37.5 ($1.91) against Denver.
• The Jets will win ($2.40) at home against the Raiders and hit the ‘Overs’ set at 46.5 (1.91). 
• And I can see the Giants being able to cause an upset win ($3.30) away at Chicago with the ‘Overs’ currently at 40.5 ($1.91) also.

A $10 outlay here brings home $816.60 worth of bacon.

You’re welcome!

I want to thank you for getting this far and taking in everything I have presented. You can as always follow and find me at @TheBLeagueSays and offer any view or conversation about this. Don’t forget to check out the #GF2 weekly rankings which you can find https://goingfor2.com/2019-fantasy-football-redraft-rankings-gf2-consensus/, and to subscribe, rate, review, and share and listen to The Armchair Fantasy Show podcast.

Let’s all get better together!

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