Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (6/9)

Put together a solid day on Tuesday with three long balls including my longshot pick of Chris Carter. I’m starting to establish a solid floor of a couple of homers a day, now I just need to find the right combination for a high ceiling with 4 or more long balls. A double dong from one of tonight’s picks or maybe three from Josh Donaldson as the cover photo suggests would sure help. Check out my crew of long ball hitters for Friday’s 14-game night slate.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

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C – Gary Sanchez (NYY) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,600) – Sometimes you just have to go with the chalk. Sanchez blasted two homers last night and has hit them in bunches during his brief career.

1B – Lucas Duda (NYM) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $4,500) – I know Duda is in my lineup almost every day but he has been mashing with six homers over his last 13 games and get another good matchup against Julio Teheran who Duda has two homers off in 25 career at-bats.

2B – Brian Dozier (MIN) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $3,800) – Dozier has a .244 ISO versus lefties in his career and with the wind blowing out a little stronger than usual in San Francisco he could take lefty Matt Moore deep.

SS – Didi Gregorius (NYY) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $4,100) – Gregorius is red-hot right now with a 10-game hitting streak including two homers in his last five games. Playing at home in New York with the short porch in right field against righty Dylan Bundy who has allowed 1.36 HR/9 on the road in his career sound like the right spot for another long ball.

3B – Josh Donaldson (TOR) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Donaldson has been hot since returning from the DL with five home runs in his last eight games. He will face rookie right-hander Sam Gaviglio who has allowed a .350 wOBA and 1.46 HR/9 to righties so far in his brief career.

OF – Mookie Betts (BOS) (FanDuel: $3,800 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Betts is just too cheap for a leadoff hitter with power and speed playing in Boston against Jordan Zimmermann who has allowed 2.29 HR/9 to righties this season.

OF – Jay Bruce (NYM) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $4,700) – Bruce is another regular in my lineup due to his two home run upside any time he faces a righty. He ripped two homers in his last game and will face the Braves’ righty Julio Teheran who has allowed 4.40 HR/9 at home to lefties this season.

OF – Lonnie Chisenhall (CLE) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $4,000) – This pick even surprises me but the more I looked the number the more I like it. He just returned from the DL and connect with a homer on Tuesday. Before his injury, he was on a home run tear with four long balls over a six-game stretch. He has a .321 ISO versus righties this season and will face right-hander Miguel Gonzalez who Chisenhall is 6-for-13 with three doubles and homer off in his career.

Longshot – Chad Pinder (OAK) (FanDuel: $2,600 / DraftKings: $2,500) – Pinder has shown some pop this season with seven homers in just 88 at-bats. He continues to bat near the top of the A’s order with six of his seven homers against righties. He will face right-hander Alex Cobb who has allowed 1.32 HR/9 to righties this season.

Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Brad Peacock ($7,000), Jhoulys Chacin ($7,000), Jordan Montgomery ($6,700)
DraftKings – Brad Peacock ($7,900), Jordan Montgomery ($7,600), Jhoulys Chacin ($6,400)

 

Tuesday, June 6 –  Results

Pos	Name	HR	FD Pts
C	Alex Avila	1	27.9
1B	Lucas Duda	0	9.5
2B	Neil Walker	1	21.7
3B	Francisco Lindor	0	0.0
SS	Jake Lamb	0	26.2
OF	Nelson Cruz	0	12.7
OF	Jay Bruce	0	6.5
OF	Dexter Fowler	0	0.0
Longshot	Chris Carter	1	18.7

 

Season Results

Pos	Picks	HR	HR Rate	Avg FD Pts
C	14	4	28.6%	10.96
1B	17	4	23.5%	11.74
2B	16	3	18.8%	10.94
SS	15	4	26.7%	18.48
3B	16	3	18.8%	9.38
OF	52	13	25.0%	11.86
Longshot	16	2	12.5%	11.26
Total	146	33	22.6%	12.00

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