Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (9/1)
Tuesday’s lineup saw three of my picks not play. However, of the six that did two of them hit homers with Giancarlo Stanton (of course) and Scott Schebler (my boy) going deep. The Friday night slate consists of 13 games with plenty of long ball hitters to choose from with a ton of terrible pitchers on the mound and some good hitting parks on the slate.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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C – Salvador Perez (KC) (FanDuel: $2,400 / DraftKings: $2,800) – Perez has hit 11 of his 21 homers on the road against right-handed pitching with a .301 ISO. He will be in Minnesota to face righty Dillon Gee who has allowed six homers in three starts this season.
1B – Mark Reynolds (COL) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Reynolds is reasonably priced for a power bat playing at Coors Field. He is 4-for-8 with a double and two homers off Taijuan Walker in his career.
2B – Neil Walker (MIL) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,500) – Walker has hit all 11 of his homers off of righties this season and will face right-hander Tanner Roark who has allowed 1.69 HR/9 to lefties this year.
SS – Elvis Andrus (TEX) (FanDuel: $3,900 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Andrus is batting .481 with five extra-base hits over his last six games and has a .202 ISO versus lefties this season.
3B – Josh Donaldson (TOR) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Donaldson hit 12 home runs in August and has a .260 ISO versus righties this season. He will face Orioles’ righty Kevin Gausman who has allowed 1.36 HR/9 to right-handed hitters this year.
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OF – Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) (FanDuel: $4,900 / DraftKings: $5,600) – Stanton hasn’t homered in two games, so he’s due. All joking aside, he is 2-for-5 with a homer off Nick Pivetta and has a .353 ISO at home versus righties this season.
OF – Nelson Cruz (SEA) (FanDuel: $4,100 / DraftKings: $4,900) – Cruz has gone 6-for-11 with a pair of home runs off lefty Sean Manaea in his career and has a .220 ISO at home versus lefties this season.
OF – Ryan Braun (MIL) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Braun only hit one home run in August but still had seven doubles and a 39.5% hard hit rate. He is cheap and the home runs will come.
Longshot – Kendrys Morales (TOR) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,500) – Morales hit three homers last night and is still dirt cheap. He won’t hit three homers tonight but could stay hot against Gausman who has allowed 2.93 HR/9 at home to lefties this season.
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Mike Leake ($6,500)
DraftKings – Jimmy Nelson ($8,400), Mike Clevinger ($8,200)
Tuesday, August 29 – Results
Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
C | Evan Gattis | 0 | 0.0 |
1B | Chris Davis | 0 | 0.0 |
2B | Daniel Murphy | 0 | 22.2 |
3B | Matt Davidson | 0 | 0.0 |
SS | Didi Gregorius | NA | NA |
OF | Giancarlo Stanton | 1 | 25.2 |
OF | Mike Trout | NA | NA |
OF | Scott Schebler | 1 | 41.9 |
Longshot | Chad Pinder | NA | NA |
Season Results
Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
C | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 12.00 |
1B | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 12.48 |
2B | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11.90 |
SS | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 13.37 |
3B | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10.07 |
OF | 108 | 30 | 27.8% | 13.37 |
Longshot | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 11.22 |
Total | 314 | 76 | 24.2% | 12.37 |
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