Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (9/15)

Today will be my final Swing for the Fences article of the baseball season, as I focus all my energy (and time) on the NFL. It has been a good run this season with some highs and lows but hopefully, in the end, some of my recommendations helped you along the way. This year’s final results were consistent with my results last year. Last season, I had a 22.6% success rate while this year currently sits at 22.7%. So, here’s to hoping I can hit a walk-off home run with my Friday selections.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

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C – Yasmani Grandal (LAD) (FanDuel: $2,700 / DraftKings: $3,300) – I usually only play Grandal when he is at home versus a right-hander but I’ll make an exception today with him facing Edwin Jackson who has allowed six home runs over his last four starts. Grandal has also homered off Jackson in just four career at-bats.

1B – Justin Smoak (TOR) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $4,700) – Smoak went deep last night and has a .302 ISO on the road versus righties. He will face Twins’ right-hander Bartolo Colon whom Smoak is batting .320 with two homers off in 25 career at-bats.

2B – Brian Dozier (MIN) (FanDuel: $4,000 / DraftKings: $4,900) – Dozier at home versus a lefty, yes please! He has posted a .479 wOBA and .362 ISO at home versus lefties this season and will face southpaw J.A. Happ who has allowed 1.23 HR/9 to righties this season.

SS – Carlos Correa (HOU) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Correa hasn’t homered since returning from the DL but he has a .259 ISO at home this season as the Astros will return home for just the second game since Correa’s return.

3B – Nolan Arenado (COL) (FanDuel: $5,200 / DraftKings: $5,400) – I just can’t pass up using Arenado at home against a lefty, especially one that allowed 10 runs in 3+ innings the last time he (Clayton Richard) pitched at Coors Field.

OF – Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $5,600) – Stanton has cooled off from his torrid pace but gets a favorable park adjustment with the Marlins moving their series to Milwaukee and will face a “bullpen day” for the Brewers.

OF – Matt Kemp (ATL) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,700) – Kemp has four home runs through his last 11 games and has a .214 ISO versus righties this season. He will face Mets’ right-hander Rafael Montero who has allowed 1.96 HR/9 to righties on the road this season.

OF – Scott Schebler (CIN) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,500) – One more shot for “my boy” Schebler who has three doubles and a triple over his last three games and has a .264 ISO versus righties this season.

Longshot – Gregory Polanco (PIT) (FanDuel: $2,400 / DraftKings: $3,100) – I have to get some exposure to a hitter against Homer Bailey pitching in Cincy, so give me a long shot home run from Polanco who has hit all 10 of his homers off righties this season while Bailey has allowed 1.76 HR/9 to lefties at home this year.

Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Mark Leiter ($6,700), Sean Newcomb ($6,600)
DraftKings – Alex Wood ($8,000), Sean Newcomb ($6,700), Mark Leiter ($6,400)

Tuesday, September 12 –  Results

Season Results

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