Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (9/8)
Anybody paying attention to baseball anymore with the kick off the NFL season last night? If you are then here are my home run hitters for Friday night’s 15-game slate of MLB action. There are some big names at reasonable prices tonight so you can even get some decent pitching options.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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C – Gary Sanchez (NYY) (FanDuel: $3,600 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Sanchez will return from his suspension tonight and returns to a good matchup against left-hander Martin Perez who has allowed 1.20 HR/9 to righties this season.
1B – Mike Napoli (TEX) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Napoli has had a lot of success against Masahiro Tanaka going 7-for-14 with three doubles and a pair of long balls in his career.
2B – Robinson Cano (SEA) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,600) – Cano has 10 hits over his last five games including a pair of home runs. He is batting .333 with two doubles and three homers off Ricky Nolasco in 24 career at-bats.
SS – Carlos Correa (HOU) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,700) – I’m going to keep rostering Correa at his reduced salary (on FD). He will face Jharel Cotton who has allowed 2.06 HR/9 to righties at home this season.
3B – Jake Lamb (ARI) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $4,600) – Lamb is another hitter that I will continue to roster (on FD) while his salary is depressed. He has been ice cold at the plate but still has a .282 ISO at home against righties this season.
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OF – Nelson Cruz (SEA) (FanDuel: $3,900 / DraftKings: $4,000) – Cruz has destroyed Ricky Nolasco over his career going 11-for-25 with three doubles and four home runs.
OF – Mookie Betts (BOS) (FanDuel: $4,200 / DraftKings: $4,800) – I guess this is turning into a BvP lineup. Betts has also had good fortune against opposing pitcher Chris Archer, batting .379 with three home runs in 29 career at-bats.
OF – Matt Kemp (ATL) (FanDuel: $2,700 / DraftKings: $3,500) – Kemp has homered in three of his last five games and is 6-for-9 with a homer off Jose Urena in his career.
Longshot – Matt Davidson (CHW) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,300) – Davidson has a .231 ISO at home versus lefties and will face southpaw Matt Moore who has allowed 1.24 HR/9 to righties this season.
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Marcus Stroman ($8,200), Lucas Giolito ($7,700)
DraftKings – Luke Weaver ($8,400), Marcus Stroman ($8,100), Mike Clevinger ($7,800), Drew Pomeranz ($7,700)
Tuesday, September 5 – Results
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Salvador Perez | 0 | 0.0 |
| 1B | Eric Thames | NA | NA |
| 2B | Ian Kinsler | 0 | 6.2 |
| 3B | Nolan Arenado | 0 | 21.9 |
| SS | Trevor Story | 1 | 18.7 |
| OF | J.D. Martinez | 0 | 9.2 |
| OF | Aaron Judge | 0 | 9.2 |
| OF | George Springer | 0 | 6.0 |
| Longshot | Brandon Moss | 0 | 0.0 |
Season Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 11.28 |
| 1B | 38 | 11 | 28.9% | 12.39 |
| 2B | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12.01 |
| SS | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 13.52 |
| 3B | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 10.20 |
| OF | 114 | 30 | 26.3% | 12.96 |
| Longshot | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 10.58 |
| Total | 331 | 78 | 23.6% | 12.12 |
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