The Ultimate Buy Low/Sell High Guide: Week 11

The trade deadline is fast approaching or may already be here for your league. Standard Yahoo! fantasy football leagues have a trade deadline of November 20 at 11:59 pm EST… that’s tomorrow! ESPN leagues have a trade deadline of December 1 at 12:00 pm EST. I’ve outlined six players whose addition or subtraction will help your team in the crucial push for the playoffs and a fantasy football championship. Let’s get to it.

SELL HIGH

Elijah Moore, WR, New York Jets

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Pick your poison… Joe Flacco, Mike White, or god forbid Zach Wilson. Moore’s QB and team situation might be the worst WR situation in the league, yet somehow he finished as the number one WR in fantasy in Week 9. He did well against Buffalo in Week 10 with a WR25 finish. Has he “leveled up” or has the whacky world of professional football been in the twilight zone the past two weeks? Why not both?

My main concerns are the return of Corey Davis and the aforementioned QBs. Moore is a good player who will have a few good games down the stretch, but I’m trying to capitalize on the offseason hype finally coming to fruition to trade for someone with a more trustworthy situation.

DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving maximum value on a player in a trade is all about timing. Smith is fresh off back-to-back top 10 finishes, one of which he finished second at the position. Maybe the game is slowing down for him and he is going to be a top fantasy option moving forward, but I have my reservations.

On the season Philadelphia is 25th in pass attempts and 21st in passing TDs. The last three games have seen them run the ball on 74, 70, and 63 percent of plays. The passing volume is too low for Smith to be anything other than a boom or bust option moving forward. Jalen Hurts is amazing for fantasy because he creates with his legs, but he is not a great passer yet.

Philadelphia does have a favorable schedule for WRs for the rest of the season, but Smith is going to hurt you far more often than he will help you. Trade him now for a more dependable option.

Jamal Agnew, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

36 targets since Week 5… no you didn’t read that name or the targets wrong. Agnew has been getting a ton of work for the past several weeks. He added three rushes for 79 yards and a rushing TD in Week 10. He is also returning kicks and punts. The guy does it all.

Those are your selling points to a potential trade partner. Agnew has been fairly productive as a flex option, but I believe Agnew managers can capitalize on his utilization to “trade up” for a better player. He is the kind of player you can package in a deal with someone else to secure an every-week starter.

BUY LOW

Darrell Henderson, RB, Los Angeles Rams

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Weekly finishes: RB16, RB11, RB16, RB20, RB5, RB31, RB5, RB36, and RB37. Three of the last four weeks have been disappointing and that couldn’t be better for your chances at nabbing him below his value. The past two games have seen Matthew Stafford channel Detroit energy by way of throwing terrible interceptions and forcing the offense to play from behind.

Los Angeles has a top-five rest of season schedule in terms of matchups for RBs, Henderson is attached to a potent offense that will figure it out, and Sean McVay is his head coach. There isn’t a better RB option out there that embodies everything we look for in a buy-low scenario.

He is number two in snap share, number 10 in opportunity share, number five in positive game scripts, and he sees one of the lowest percentages of loaded boxes in the league. The metrics are there which means he didn’t suddenly become a bad RB. He’s had three “bad” games out of nine. He is going to be a top 10 RB for the rest of the season and you can acquire him well below that cost. It doesn’t hurt that he’s on bye this week which further drives down his trade value.

T.J. Hockenson, TE, Detroit Lions

What happened last week?! One target, zero receptions, and a big fat goose egg for his managers despite playing a full five quarters. That is a bitter taste his managers are ready to hock (pun intended) in the trash. His prior three weeks saw him finish as the TE7, TE11, and TE1. He’s fifth in targets, sixth in air yards, and first in my heart. Seriously though, he’s an elite option at a very shallow position you can acquire for less than his value due to a terrible week.

Javonte Wiliams, RB, Denver Broncos

I’m not going to belabor the point that so many other writers have made, so I’ll keep it simple. He is in a nearly 50/50 timeshare with Melvin Gordon, Denver has the second-best rest of season schedule for fantasy RBs, and he’s near the top of the league in several metrics that are predictive for fantasy success.

We’ve seen it year after year where a rookie or second-year RB goes off down the stretch and leads managers to fantasy championships. The leading candidate to do that this year is Javonte Williams.

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