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Round 4
4.1 Tucker – RB Justin Forsett, Ravens
Forsett had a breakout year and I’m expecting the same from him and that Bmore offense.
4.2 Anthony – QB Drew Brees, Saints
With my fourth round pick I’m selecting Drew Brees. Despite having an “off “season Brees still lead the NFL in passing yards. Only 48 yard shy of his 4th consecutive 5,000 passing yard season. Even with losing Jimmy Graham, Brees is still an elite quarterback. The addition of C.J. Spiller should help out tremendously! Look for another 30-plus touchdown season from Brees. Don’t count him out just yet!
4.3 Dan – WR A.J. Green, Bengals
With my 4th round pick I’m taking A.J. Green. His 2014 season consisted of 69 receptions for 1,000+ yds and 6 TDs… in 13 games. If he can stay healthy in 2015 you could be looking at somewhere around 85 receptions for 1,300 yds and 8 TDs. Not too shabby for a 4th round pick WR. He has a ton of upside despite the Bengal’s offensive struggles last season. Those struggles could be attributed to a down season for QB Andy Dalton who had the lowest amount of passing yards since his rookie season and a career low in TD passes. Between that and his contract issues, it is not a huge surprise that he has fallen to the 4th round.
The good news is that Dalton turned in those numbers last season playing without Marvin Jones and Tyler Eifert — both of whom are back this season. When Dalton had Green, Eifert, Jones, and Sanu in 2013 he put up career highs for all of his passing stats and guess who else had career highs that season – A.J. Green. With all of those players back in the rotation this season, there is no reason they can’t bounce back and put up numbers similar to the 2013 season.
4.4 Geoff – WR T.Y. Hilton, Colts
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For my 4th round pick I’m going WR and hoping the RB I’m targeting in the 5th is still there. I had 3 choices at WR: TY Hilton, Mike Evans and Kelvin Benjamin. I ultimately decided on TY Hilton because the other two have questionable QBs. Sorry Tucker. Luck threw it 616 times last year and targeted Hilton on only 20-percent of those throws. Most big name receivers average closer to 30-percent of the targets, and despite the relatively limited amount of targets, Hilton was still the No. 6 leading receiver in yards for 2014. His low TD production is the only thing that worries me, but in that offense he could easily get 12 or 13 this year.
4.5 Fawad – RB Carlos Hyde, 49ers
With my selection I will pick up Carlos Hyde…he did not contribute much last year but suffered from a backup role and an a stagnant offense..hopefully with the lose of Frank Gore he will see more touches — barring injuries
4.6 Josh – WR Jordan Matthews, Eagles
Philly’s offense is either going to sink or swim this season and Matthews will be a big part of their passing game. If the Kelly’s experiment of cutting every one of value work,s than Mattews should have big fantasy numbers, if not, then I wasted another pick.
4.7 Dennis – WR Mike Evans, Bucs
Evans came on strong in the second half of the season to post 68 catches, 1000-plus yards and 12 TDs. I can see Evans improving on those rookie numbers as his supporting cast of receivers has not gotten any better. Finally, while playing with a rookie QB is a concern, his QBs last year were Mike Glennon and Josh McCown.I can envision the 6’5″ Evans becoming Winston’s security blanket.
4.8 Brandon – WR Sammy Watkins, Bills
This pick came down to Sammy Watkins and Kelvin Benjamin. Overall I feel Watkins will be utilized better in Buffalo’s offense. The Panthers don’t have enough weapons to keep defenses from fully focusing on Benjamin so Watkins is less likely to suffer from a severe sophomore slump. So I’m going with Sammy Watkins.
4.9 Harrison – RB Melvin Gordon, Chargers
Pick is in….Melvin Gordon. It’s been awhile since we have had an impact rookie 1st round RB. Melvin will get his chance in SD. Matthews is gone and Oliver isn’t an every down back with the size to last the whole season. He should earn the starting spot at training camp if he doesn’t do it during OTAs. Rivers will enjoy having a RB that can stay healthy for the whole season.
4.10 Shane – WR Kelvin Benjamin, Panthers
With a rookie record of 1,008 yards in his rookie season, my next pick is Kelvin Benjamin. With it being so early, it is worth noting that Benjamin is battling a hamstring issue and hopefully that does not play a factor in his upcoming season. Look for Kelvin to make some noise in only his 2nd season this year.
Another round dominated by wide receivers with 6 going in this round. We also saw two running backs with high upside, but with little to no experience, being drafted in this round — 2nd year player Carlos Hyde and rookie Melvin Gordon.
Overall no huge surprises here and a great round for every owner, it was hard to choose the winner of this round as I think everyone made solid picks. It ultimately came down to two owners, Dan and Tucker. They both drafted guys that could put up RB1 or WR1 type numbers in the fourth round. Tucker took Forsett and Dan took A.J. Green.
I’m going to give the edge to Tucker simply due to the fact that Forestt is a running back that will get the bulk of the carries in Baltimore, and to get a workhorse back that won’t be part of a RBBC in the fourth round is an absolute steal.
Round 5
5.1 Shane – WR Emmanuel Sanders, Broncos
My next pick is my counter-part to my Peyton Manning pick. I am not only picking Emmanuel Sanders because of the 13.9 yards a catch he averaged, or the 1,404 total yards (5th in the league), but mainly because of the x2 multiplier I’ll get when Peyton throws him a TD. At this point in the draft I feel RBs become a dime a dozen but you still need to focus on big time receivers. **After first rounds I think they are.. Cause u start getting towards running backs in a two back set.
5.2 Harrison – QB Russell Wilson, Seahawks
Pick is in….Russell Wilson. He isn’t too flashy when it comes to QB fantasy points but he is consistent. With the addition of Jimmy Graham that might change. Also, if he doesn’t get the contract extension before training camp, this will be a contract year.
5.3 Brandon – WR Jeremy Maclin, Chiefs
With my next pick I am going with Jeremy Maclin. I know the Chiefs WR corp didn’t catch a touchdown all last season but I have faith in Andy Reid to adjust the offensive scheme and make sure that doesn’t remotely come close to happening again. Maclin being the only true vertical threat gives him an opportunity to make big plays and only Charles and Kelce will lure Smith’s conservative eye away from him. Brandon Marshall would’ve been the choice here but I don’t trust Geno Smith. Expect a better than predicted year from Maclin.
5.4 Dennis – RB Jonathan Stewart, Panthers
Stewart gained 806 yds on 175 carries in 13 games least season while splitting carries with DeAngelo Williams and Mike Tolbert. When he was giving the opportunity to be the feature back last season, he seized the opportunity. Williams is gone to Pittsburgh, and as long as Stewart stays healthy, he should be able to top 200 carries for only the 2nd time in his career.
5.5 Josh – WR Andre Johnson, Colts
My pick is Andre Johnson. He had an off-year last year with only 958 yards, 1407 the previous season and nearly 1600 the season before that and this year he has Andrew Luck throwing to him and two games against the team that spurned him. He’ll have a big year this season. I’m calling it now, Pro Bowl bound.
5.6 Fawad – WR Golden Tate, Lions
With an incredible year for his first time playing in Detroit’s offense I’m picking Golden Tate…with one year under his belt and more comfort with the playbook I think this year he will surpass his numbers from last year….especially if Megatron gets injured like he does every year.
5.7 Geoff – RB Lamar Miller, Dolphins
My pick Lamer Miller. Having passed on higher end Rbs I’m ecstatic that Miller is still available. Only one running back had a higher yards per carry than Miller (Justin Forsett). That stat by itself it’s enough to draft him, but there is more. He did that behind PFF’s lowest rated run blocking offensive line! And to take that to even another level. The Dolphins couldn’t throw the ball down the field. They averaged 6.8 yards per pass. The Jets, worst passing team last year, averaged 6.4. So what did that mean for miller last year? Safeties in the box because they weren’t afraid of getting burned deep. So 5.1 yards per carry from miller is outstanding.
5.8 Dan – RB Frank Gore, Colts
My pick is Frank Gore. Even though he is getting up there in age, the fact that Richardson and Bradshaw are gone leaves a pretty large workload ahead of him. In an explosive passing offense like the colts the defenses won’t be able to stack the box which should lead to another consecutive 1,000+ yard season for Gore. Boom Herron may steal some carries but I don’t see him stealing the job. Gore will make a great flex play in a standard league.
5.9 Anthony – RB Todd Gurley, Rams
With my next pick I’m selecting Todd Gurley. Gurley is one of the best backs to enter the draft since AP! He is a powerful downhill runner with great hands. Last season he averaged of 60 yards after contact before getting injured. The Rams will bring him along slowly but, he could up being the starter by the end of the season. The only issue with Gurley is health. But, the Rams didn’t select him at No. 10 to sit on the bench.
5.10 Tucker – QB Cam Newton, Panthers
My next pick is Greg Olsen. Olsen is a top 5 TE so that’s a no brainer. There’s no reason he shouldn’t remain a top 5/top 10 TE for this year based on numbers alone.
This round was split with four running backs and four wide receivers with two quarterbacks thrown in for good measure. The surprise in this round is how high Todd Gurley went. There is a lot of uncertainty as to whether or not he will be ready to start the season, and even if he does, he may be on a time share with Tre Mason for the first half of the season. The potential is definitely there with Gurley, but I would have personally waited another round or two.
The winner of this round came down to two owners taking No. 2 wide receivers from high-powered offensive teams. Shane taking Emmanuel Sanders and Josh with Andre Johnson. I’m giving the slight edge to Josh based on the fact that I believe Denver will be a little more run oriented this year to try to keep Peyton Manning healthy at the end of the season, which could mean less targets for Sanders.
Andrew Luck threw the ball 600-plus times in 2014, so there will be plenty of targets for Andre Johnson, and I foresee a 2013 “Reggie Wayne” type revival season for Johnson with Luck as his QB.
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