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Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets
It appears the Jets (1-5) are in mid season form as they take on the surging Bengals. The Jets are already having QB problems after Wilson goes down and they traded for Joe Flacco. They won’t use Flacco right away as they name Mike White the official starter. White has tossed for 202 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INTs completing 20/32 of his passes.
The Bengals pounced all over the Ravens last week and excelled on both sides of the ball after winning 41-17. Burrow is already looking elite and gets an extremely favorable matchup against a terrible Jets squadron. Burrow has several weapons and his chemistry with Chase is electric as Chase is already looking at breaking records for a rookie receiver. Burrow has tossed for 1956 yards, 17 TD, and 8 INTs.
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The Bengals are the massive favorite to win and get a spread of -10.5. I can’t believe this spread isn’t higher after the Patriots absolutely destroyed this team 54-13. The Bengals have every advantage except home field which will make little difference. Bengals -10.5 is a steal.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
The Buccaneers are looking like Super Bowl favorites behind the ageless arm of Tom Brady. You have to respect him for doing right by the fan who gave up his 600th career TD ball. Although the ball was marketed at 500K, he got a decent haul in return. All the weapons in Tom Brady’s arsenal appear to be a go. Brady has tossed for a league leading 2275 yards, 21 TD, and 3 INTs.
The Saints (4-2) aren’t as good as their record suggests barely scrapping by and having an easy schedule. Winston faces his old team as a better QB. Apparently he just needed eye surgery and he was playing with bad eye sight. Winston is taking care of the ball and maintaining a decent TD ratio. Winston has tossed for 1114 yards, 13 TD, and 3 INTs while completing 89/151 of his passes.
The Saints do have a quality win against under their belt against the Packers week 1, but have since fell to the Ravens and Panthers. Their other wins have come from the likes of the Giants, WFT, and the Seahawks last week. This team is a pretender. They are 29th in yards, 31st passing, and 17th in points. The Saints defense has kept them in games and allowed them to barely get by. The Saints are 8th in yards allowed, 2nd in rushing yards allowed, 3rd in points allowed and 20th in passing yards.
The Bucs are the -4.5 favorites on the road. The Saints defense is geared toward stopping the run and not the pass which heavily favors the pass happy Bucs squad with the best weapons in the NFL. The Saints defense may stop the Bucs from throwing up 35 points but they can’t keep up offensively because of the Bucs defense. I expect a 28-17 game in favor of the Bucs. Bucs -4.5 is the play.
Los Angeles Rams at Houston Texans
The city of Houston can at least be proud that they have the Astros in the World Series this season because the Texans (1-6) have been a complete dumpster fire. They can’t move Watson due to a high price tag and over 20 allegations looming overhead.
They just traded their running back Mark Ingram back to the Saints. Brandin Cooks is unhappy. They are starting a rookie QB Mills after Tyrod Taylor goes down with an injury. Talk about not catching a break. Mills hasn’t been half bad despite nothing to work with and has thrown for 1047 yards, 5 TD, and 7 INT.
Los Angeles (6-1) is on the other end of the spectrum as Matthew Stafford has steeped seamlessly into his roll as the gun slinger. The Stafford to Cupp connection has been instant with the duo instantly becoming tone of the best in the league. Stafford has tossed for 2172 yards, 19 TD, and 4 INT. Cupp already has an astounding 809 yards and 9 TDS on 56 receptions.
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It’s no secret the Rams have catapulted to to the top of the Super Bowl contender list as their offense and defense dynamic is among the best in the league. The Rams are massive -14.5 favorites and see no reason to believe they can’t cover this spread against one of the worst defenses in the league. Maybe buy down to -14.0 in case of a push if you want.
Honorable Mentions
Lions +3.5
Bears +4.0
Chargers -4.0
Jaguars +3.5
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