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Severino will face the Phillies in Citizens Bank Park. He’s priced slightly above Corey Kluber and James Paxton, but has a mouth-watering matchup. He’ll travel to the National League, and will face a team with the third highest strikeout rate in the league. He’s a big favorite and has an OTT (see pitcher chart) of three. Only James Paxton and the next guy in my article have a higher strikeout rate than Severino this season. All signs points to a great game from Severino.
While Peralta only has three MLB starts under his belt, he owns a 41% strikeout rate and two shutouts this season. It’s a small sample size for the strikeout rate, but Peralta recorded a 12.81 K/9 in Triple-A with a 12.86 K/9 in Double-A the year before. He’ll face the Royals who have the lowest strikeout rate in the league, but some of that has to do with their home ballpark suppressing strikeouts. This game will be in Miller Park, so not only is the park better for Ks, the Royals lose their DH as well. As a big favorite with a low OTT (3.5), Peralta is one of my favorite SP2 options on the slate.
After a slow start to the year, Lynn has put together six solid outings in a row. He’s averaged 20.1 DK points per game over those starts and now gets a White Sox team that is one of my favorites to pick on. The White Sox rank 2nd in strikeout rate and 23rd in wRC+ this season. Lynn has limited upside, but at $7,300, he’s in play for cash games as an SP2 on DraftKings.