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Top Priced Pitchers
I’m interested to see how ownership works out on Monday, as I don’t like any of the top pitchers on this slate in cash games. Gerrit Cole is the top option, but $12,800 against the Mariners seems like he’s overpriced. James Paxton is coming off of an injury so I’m concerned about his effectiveness. Additionally, he’ll face the Astros, so I don’t feel comfortable paying $9,600. Kenta Maeda is on my radar for tournaments, but with the addition of Mike Moustakas, the Brewers offense is improved. With Moustakas in the lineup, the Brewers sent down two of their highest strikeout players (Brad Miller/Keon Broxton), making their 24.2% strikeout rate a bit of a mirage. Finally, Aaron Nola will travel to face the Boston Red Sox in Fenway Park. Not only is it a fantastic hitters park and the Red Sox are the league’s second best offense, Nola will not have the luxury facing a pitcher in the American League. I will be fading each of the top four pitchers in cash games.
Ray will face the Rangers in Chase Field. He’s the biggest favorite on the slate and has an OTT (see pitcher chart) of 3.5. He has a strikeout rate over 30% this season and the Rangers punch out at the fourth highest rate in the league. The Rangers take a big park hit in this game and will also lose their DH. Ray will be my cash game SP1.
Holland will face the Padres in Petco Park. He has an OTT of 3.5 as well, and the Padres have the highest strikeout rate in the league at 25.5%. Holland has improved his strikeouts this season, averaging more than a strikeout per inning. He’s priced at $7,600, putting him firmly in play for cash games. Pairing Ray and Holland gives you $4,300 per bat to fill out the rest of your lineup.