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Carrasco will face the Twins in Target Field. After trading both Eduardo Escobar and Brian Dozier, the Twins lineup is a bit watered down. Carrasco is the highest priced pitcher on the early slate, but he’s a big favorite with an OTT (see pitcher chart) of 3.5, tied for lowest on the slate. Recently, he hasn’t gone as deep into games as he did earlier in the year, but I still think there is safety in Carrasco. He’s likely the top overall option, but it remains to be seen whether he’ll be worth the $11,400 on DraftKings.
Gray will face the Orioles in Yankee Stadium. The Orioles have the fifth worst wRC+ this season, but have now lost two major bats via trades. They are one of the worst offenses in the league, and Gray should be able to capitalize like Masahiro Tanaka did on Tuesday. Gray is the biggest favorite of the day and has an OTT of 3.5. He’ll be popular with an $8,500 price tag on DraftKings, but I’ll have him in cash games assuming his thumb injury is a non-factor.
On the main slate, only two pitchers are priced lower than Weaver. He’ll face the Rockies who take a major park hit traveling to Busch Stadium. Weaver also has an OTT of 3.5, and I’m guessing most of the run prevention will come from Weaver rather than the Cardinals’ 25th ranked bullpen. Weaver has been relatively inconsistent this year, but I’m going to have a hard time avoiding him as my SP2 on the main slate.