DFS MLB FanDuel Home Run Predictions 6/1/19

Swingin’ for the Fences 

A new month equals a nice, clean slate, pun intended. Today’s games have been divided into multiple sections, giving us a friendly 8 gamer for main. Even with the reduction in games, this slate is still absolutely studded with power bats left, right, and center. While temps won’t be as high, there will be quite a few breezes blowing out to the alleys which always helps. You guys already know the drill so I won’t bore you with the fine print. Let’s jump in.

 

Catcher/Corner Infield

Luke Voit – $4,100 vs BOS (Porcello)

Porcello has actually been quite respectable in limiting overall run damage despite his unpleasant ERA. He’s had 6 quality starts over his last 7 outings which is more than solid. However, the problem with him happens to be the long ball as he’s allowed 10 this year in 11 outings. Luke Voit just happens to be one of the strongest guys in the league. He possesses a .348 ISO over the past week and lines up with Porcello’s arsenal nicely. Another nice tidbit is that of Porcello’s 10 HRs allowed, 7 have been to RHBs so if you’re looking to target this game, Voit and Frazier should be at the top of your lists.

Justin Smoak – $3,800 vs COL (Smoak)

Coors is a breeding ground for offenses to regain life and that doesn’t change tonight with the Blue Jays coming into town. Gray has given up 11 dongs on the season with both sides hitting him rather well, especially lefties. Meanwhile, Smoak has been tearing the cover off the ball. Over his last 7 games, he’s gone 10-28 with 5 HRs, including a double dong performance for an ISO well over .400. I wouldn’t overthink this too much. It’s a hot handed slugger in a hitter’s ballpark against a subpar pitcher.

Middle Infield

Alex Bregman – $4,300 vs OAK (Anderson)

With most of the other games already being mentioned, Bregman gives me some relief. However, this is is more of a recency bias play as opposed to stats. Anderson has always been an extreme groundball pitcher and has been incredibly stingy against RHBs this season. On the bright side, he actually had trouble vs RHBs last season, allowing a .293 average and .467 SLG% as opposed to .243 and .345 this season. Bregman is coming off a mini 2 game streak of HRs as he continues to carry an injury plagued team. He’s the best power bat they’ve got.

Tim Beckham – $3,300 vs LAA (Heaney)

This is a similar case as compared to Bregman. Both have shown above average over the past week or so and have been bright spots for their respective offenses. He’s blasted 3 HRs over his last 7 games so we know he has his power swing going. Heaney was dominant in his return this season but RHBs had a slight edge over him last season with a .254 average with .457 SLG. It’s always harder to hit balls out of Safeco with the dimensions and marine layer but Heaney is someone who has been liable to give up quite a few long balls to RHBs (ALL 27 HRs given up last season were by RHBs).

 

Outfield

Marcell Ozuna – $4,200 vs CHC (Quintana)

Quintana has a pretty serious case of Jekyll and Hyde this season. At home, he has a 2.84 ERA with an opposing wOBA of just .268. On the road, he has a much more homely ERA of 5.11 with an opposing wOBA of .361. Of the 7 HRs he’s given this season, all have been against RHBs and 6 of them have been while he’s on the road. Check and check. While Ozuna hasn’t actually been “tearing it up” lately but he’s been posting very solid power numbers. He also has a decent history against (5-11 with a HR). The entire Cardinals offense has been rather sad but Ozuna has been a lone bright spot.

Alex Verdugo – $2,900 vs PHI (Irvin)

Verdugo has been one of my favorite under the radar guys to go to. He hits for a pretty high average and displays a decent amount of power. He also isn’t subject to pitcher splits so he gets every day playing time. He’s batting .429 over the past week an ISO of .214 ,a wOBA of .432, and a 65% hard contact rate. Irvin had a decent couple starts but got sent down after a rough outing. Unfortunately for him, he gets the absolute worst matchup for a possible tune up. I think Verdugo goes underowned again and produces nicely.

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That finishes things up for today. There are several solid game stacks today so get to making those lines and don’t forget your daily dosage of Coors (both the beer and stadium if that makes you happy). Good luck, peeps!

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