Hopefully, last night went well for you to reinvest in another decently sized slate! There are 11 games on tap tonight on the main-slate with a lot of great options, once again.
pitching is pretty tough to navigate through after the top tier, while the hitting stacks are quite straightforward. Finding salary-saving options will be an issue though. Let’s break it down and see what we can find!
Chris Sale (BOS): $13,000 @ TEX
The obvious “pay-up” at SP 1 this evening is Chris Sale. He owns the leagues highest K/9 at 12.98, along with the lowest xFIP at 2.50. He is one of the best pitchers in all of baseball and will face a very strikeout-prone team. The Red Sox are a -372 favorite which is one of the highest spreads I have seen all year. $13,000 is a high price to pay when we need Coors Field exposure, but Sale should have no problem getting 35+ DraftKings points tonight.
Sonny Gray (NYY): $6,500 @ BAL
There is not a lot of confidence in these next two recommendations. Don’t @ me if they blow up, because they both could. That being said, the best position to save salary at is SP 2. Sonny Gray has had some dominant performances this year and tonight might be another good one. Gray has some of the biggest home/road splits of any starting pitcher. For whatever reason, he just cannot pitch well at home. His ERA is double (8.25 vs 4.07), he has allowed five more home runs (in fewer innings pitched), over double the number of strikeouts (52 to 25), while the rest of the hitting stats are drastically higher at home. The Orioles are a great matchup for Sonny Gray who can throw a nasty slider and induce a ton of swinging strikes. He is a risky player to roster, but provides upside at a low cost.
Sam Gaviglio (TOR): $5,200 @ ATL
There is not a lot of upside to talk about with the Blue Jays starter, but he can put together a serviceable outing at near minimum price. He does not have great numbers on his side and the matchup is pretty tough. But we are really only looking for around 15 DraftKings points from Sam Gaviglio tonight, in order to fit in the bats. He has reached at least 15 points in six of his 11 starts, all of which have been tough matchups. The soft-throwing righty has slight reverse split stats which will hopefully neutralize the power hitting lefties.
In a game which should see a lot of runs scored (11.5 implied total), the Rockies come in as my favorite stack. They will be popular, facing Shelby Miller, for good reason. Miller has pitched just 14 innings this season but has already given up five homers. Over his career, Shelby Miller has struggled with left-handed power, making Charlie Blackmon one of the best hitters on the night.
In the same game, the division rivals are just as good of a stack. German Marquez will take the mound for the home team. Marquez relies heavily on the breaking ball, mixing in a slider and curveball around 35% of the time. As we know, breaking stuff simply does not break as hard in the mile high city which will leave plenty of hangers for these D-backs to hit a long way.
Boston Red Sox
The Indians will face Tyler Mahle in the second game of their interleague series. Mahle struggles with left-handed power, owning a .396 wOBA. Francisco Lindor, Michael Brantley, Jose Ramirez, Yonder Alonso, Jason Kipnis, and Tyler Naquin are all either left-handed or switch hitters. This will prove to make a long night for the Reds starter.