NFL DFS DraftKings Cash Game Lineup – Week 11 (Main Slate – 12 Games 11/20/16)

Each week, I’ll create a cash game lineup for DraftKings. Since this is usually posted by Wednesday, the cash game lineups may change slightly by Sunday.

 

In cash games, you should always look for each player to reach at least 3x value.

DraftKings Points/(Player Salary/1000) = Value

Example: If Carson Wentz has a $5,000 salary and scored 15 DraftKings (DK) points, Wentz would reach 3x value based on the formula below.

15 DK Points/($5,000/1,000) = 3x Value

 

I will also present a 3x stat line. The 3x stat line is not a projection, but a hypothetical stat line that would allow the player to reach three times his value. When creating your own cash game lineup, choose players who you believe can reach the 3x stat line. If you look at a player and don’t think he can reach the 3x stat line, consider choosing a different option in your own lineup.

Week 10 Lineup Review

Our Week 10 lineup did well. There were a few players who didn’t reach value, but our higher priced players did their job. The lineup scored 152.34 DK points and cashed in all the 50/50s I entered. See last week’s lineup below. week-10-lineup

NFL DFS DraftKings Cash Game Lineup – Week 11

QB – Kirk Cousins vs. (GB) – $5,800

Cousins plays a Packers defense that is 18th against the pass (all defensive rankings are from Football Outsiders DVOA), but Washington has a team total of almost 27 points and are home favorites. The Packers run defense isn’t as good as it was at the beginning of the year, but still ranks 5th against the run, so I’m expecting Washington to lean on the pass in this matchup. The Packers have given up an average of 297 passing yards and 2.5 passing touchdowns in road games this season. To make it better, Cousins has at least 329 passing yards or multiple passing touchdowns in every home game this year.

3x stat line: 235 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns = 17.4 DK Points

RB – David Johnson at (MIN) – $7,900

Johnson has scored at least 15.4 DK points in every game this year while averaging 25.5 DK points. He has at least 100 total yards in every game and while the Vikings defense is 10th against the run, Johnson’s receiving ability raises his floor enough to be considered in cash games every week.

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3x stat line: 17 carries, 80 rushing yards, 5 catches, 47 receiving yards, 1 total touchdown = 23.7 DK Points

RB – Le’Veon Bell at (CLE) – $8,800

Bell is averaging 9.33 targets per game which is basically wide receiver production. Don’t be scared by the high price, as the Browns rank 29th against the run. Bell is averaging over 24 touches per game and the Steelers are favored by 7.5 points with a team total of almost 27 points.

3x stat line: 17 carries, 109 rushing yards, 3 catches, 35 receiving yards, 1 total touchdown = 26.4 DK Points

WR – A.J. Green vs. (BUF) – $8,300

Over his last three home games, Green averages 9 receptions and 154 receiving yards while scoring twice. The Bills are 23rd against the pass, but rank 32nd against WR1s. Green has a great matchup this week and is averaging 11 targets per game this season.

3x stat line: 5 catches, 109 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown = 24.9 DK Points

WR – Golden Tate vs. (JAX) – $5,300

Tate is averaging eight receptions on almost 11 targets per game over the past four weeks. He’s turned these receptions into 21.3 DK points per game over the same stretch. The Jaguars have a decent pass defense, but Tate moves around the formation and catches plenty of passes close to the line of scrimmage to increase his floor on a full PPR site.

3x stat line: 7 catches, 84 receiving yards, 1 carry, 5 yards = 15.9 DK Points 

WR – Eddie Royal at (NYG) – $3,400

Royal benefits from Alshon Jeffery’s suspension and should see an increase in targets with Jeffery out. He has a long history with Jay Cutler, dating back to their days in Denver. I expect Royal, not Cameron Meredith, to be Cutler’s go-to wide receiver this week.

3x stat line: 5 catches, 52 receiving yards = 10.2 DK Points

TE – Martellus Bennett at (SF) – $3,700

With Rob Gronkowski likely out this week, Martellus Bennett becomes my favorite tight end option. Bennett is currently the 6th best tight end on a per game basis, and has played most of his games splitting targets with Gronkowski. I like to target tight ends on teams with a high team total and a large spread. The Patriots have both the highest team total and the highest spread this week.

3x stat line: 5 catches, 61 receiving yards = 11.1 DK Points

FLEX – C.J. Prosise vs. (PHI) – $4,200

With Christine Michael waived, Prosise will split time with Thomas Rawls in the Seattle backfield. While Rawls has more touchdown upside, Prosise will get the receiving work. Seattle traditionally doesn’t throw to their running backs, but Prosise caught all seven of his targets last week, and the Eagles rank 24th against running backs in the passing game.

3x stat line: 12 carries, 40 rushing yards, 4 catches, 46 rushing yards = 12.6 DK Points

D/ST – Dallas Cowboys vs. (BAL) – $2,600

The Cowboys are favored by 7.5 points, are at home, and play against a Ravens team that has a team total of less than 19 points. With the Cowboys slow pace, this isn’t a high upside play, but for $2,600 it’s one of the safest cash game plays on the board.

3x stat line: 14-20 points against, 3 sacks, 2 total turnovers = 8 DK Points (3.1x)

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