Each week, I’ll post my cash game picks for DraftKings. Since this is usually posted earlier in the week, some picks may change slightly by Sunday. Follow me on Twitter @fantasybeast15 for updates!
In cash games, you should always look for each player to reach at least 3x value.
DraftKings Points/(Player Salary/1000) = Value
Example: If Carson Wentz has a $5,000 salary and scored 15 DraftKings (DK) points, Wentz would reach 3x value based on the formula below.
15 DK Points/($5,000/1,000) = 3x Value
I will also present a 3x stat line. The 3x stat line is not a projection, but a hypothetical stat line that would allow the player to reach three times his value. When creating your own cash game lineup, choose players who you believe can reach the 3x stat line. If you look at a player and don’t think he can reach the 3x stat line, consider choosing a different option in your own lineup.
Week 6 Lineup Review
My cash game lineup for week 6 worked out well. I toyed with both Brees and Watson in cash, but ended up on Cousins. I saw a slightly higher floor and ceiling for Cousins since Rob Kelley was out and the 49ers played at the league’s highest pace. I saw both Ingram and McKinnon as locks due to their volume at low prices, but didn’t expect four combined touchdowns. Davante Adams looked like a great play, but ended up seeing shadow coverage from Xavier Rhodes, and Aaron Rodgers left the game early with a broken collar bone. The lineup was lucky to get a touchdown from Adams while the Vikings were in zone coverage, was lucky to get a touchdown from DeAndre Hopkins on only two receptions, and was even more lucky to get a touchdown thrown by Tarik Cohen to Zach Miller. Overall, I won 90+% of my head-to-head matchups and cashed in all of my double-ups.
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NFL DFS DraftKings Cash Game Lineup – Week 7
QB – Brett Hundley vs. (NO) – $5,100
A big cash game decision will be choosing between Tyrod Taylor and Hundley at the same price. Taylor will match up against the Buccaneers defense that ranks 31st against the pass (all rankings are from Football Outsiders DVOA), and Hundley will face the Saints who rank 11th. Hundley is surrounded by talented playmakers, while Taylor has few weapons outside of LeSean McCoy. Both quarterbacks provide some rushing upside which should create a solid floor for each. I’m not sure which way I’m leaning for cash games just yet, but I feel Taylor is safer and Hundley has more upside. Since I play mostly head-to-head contests, I may end up on Hundley.
3x stat line: 200 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, 33 rushing yards = 15.3 DK Points
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RB – LeSean McCoy vs. (TB) – $7,400
McCoy is priced reasonably and while the Buccaneers rank 14th against the run, they were destroyed by 32-year-old Adrian Peterson last week. They also rank just 22nd against receiving running backs and McCoy averages more than 5 catches per game. He also averages 15.4 DK points per game this year and has yet to score, showing a very solid floor. With few solid weapons on the offense, McCoy should push for 25 touches and shouldn’t even have to score to reach value.
3x stat line: 19 carries, 102 rushing yards, 5 catches, 40 yards = 22.2 DK Points
RB – Mark Ingram at (GB) – $6,700
Ingram exploded last week for 34 DK points and while I’m not expecting a repeat performance, I still like Ingram for his price. He saw a season-high in carries, snap percentage, and tied his season-high in receptions. The Packers run defense is slightly below average, and the Saints are favored by four, likely leading to a positive game script for Ingram.
3x stat line: 15 carries, 70 rushing yards, 4 catches, 31 receiving yards, 1 total touchdown = 20.1 DK Points
WR – Demaryius Thomas at (LAC) – $5,800
Emmanuel Sanders will miss this game due to injury, vacating roughly 8 targets per game. While I expect the Broncos to lean on the run a bit more, I think Thomas will absorb some of those targets, as well as be the top option in the red zone. Many will turn to Bennie Fowler for salary relief, and while I think he’s a great value play, I’m not fully convinced he’s a better value than Thomas at $5,800.
3x stat line: 5 catches, 64 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown = 17.4 DK Points
WR – Adam Thielen vs. (BAL) – $6,700
I’m assuming Stefon Diggs sits another week, leaving Adam Thielen as the top option for the Vikings passing attack. The matchup scares me a bit, as the Ravens ran 2nd against the pass, but Thielen should have the best matchup of the Vikings receivers against Lardarius Webb in the slot. Thielen has been one of the most consistent receiver in the NFL this season recording at least 5 catches and 8 targets in each game this year. He saw both a target (13) and reception (9) increase with Diggs out of the lineup in week 6, and I’m expecting a similar output this week.
3x stat line: 7 catches, 101 receiving yards = 20.1 DK Points
WR – Michael Thomas at (GB) – $7,500
Thomas will face the Packers in an away game at Lambeau Field. While Drew Brees struggles more on the road than at home, Thomas is the opposite. Thomas has seen an increase of more than 4 PPR points per game on the road during his short career. The Packers rank 22nd in DVOA against WR1s and have given up huge games to talented WRs. The Packers have allowed 100 yards or a touchdown to Julio Jones, AJ Green, and Dez Bryant already this year. While Thomas may not quite be on the level of those three, he’s certainly close and costs just $7,500.
3x stat line: 7 catches, 95 receiving yards, 1 total touchdown = 22.5 DK Points
TE – Kyle Rudolph vs. (BAL) – $3,800
Rudolph has also seen a target increase with the injuries to Dalvin Cook and Stefon Diggs. Over his past two games Rudolph has seen 18 targets and 11 receptions. He’s found the end zone and averaged over 13 DK points per game. He’ll face the Ravens defense who rank 32nd against the tight end this season. For his price and considering the matchup, Rudolph is a lock for me in cash games.
3x stat line: 5 catches, 64 receiving yards = 11.4 DK Points
TE – Evan Engram vs. (SEA) – $4,400
With all the injuries to the Giants pass catchers, Engram is set up for incredible volume for $4,400. If Sterling Shepard plays, he’ll take some of the pressure off of Engram leading to higher efficiency, but if Shepard is out, Engram could see double-digit targets. Even with a touch matchup against the Seahawks, the volume may be enough to pay off Engram’s modest salary.
3x stat line: 6 catches, 72 receiving yards = 13.2 DK Points
D/ST – Ask me on Twitter @fantasybeast15 for my favorite defensive plays this week!
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