NFL DFS Value Plays Week 11 – FanDuel

Another week and another list of FanDuel value plays for Week 11 in the NFL. This week I have a couple of repeats from Week 10 including one play that worked out well and one play that fell flat on his face. Overall, there looks like there are plenty of solid value options at every position again this week. Enjoy!

The intent is not to play this exact lineup as it will come in well below the Salary Cap but to use the players as a baseline of value options which can then be upgraded to a better player with a higher salary at a few of the positions.

So onto the value plays for Week 11…

The LootCrate FanDuel Value Plays for Week 11

Quarterbacks

Ryan Fitzpatrick (TB) @ MIA $6,400
Fitzpatrick was the dud that I recommended last week but am going back to again this week. After he failed against the Jets last week, many DFS players that used him will run far away from him this week but that would be a mistake as he is in a better matchup this week against the Dolphins and gets his top WR (Mike Evans) back. If you made the mistake of rostering him last week don’t double-down on the mistake by not using him this week.

Running Backs

Jerrick McKinnon (MIN) vs LAR $6,400
The Vikings’ offense has been very good this season despite losing Sam Bradford and Delvin Cook. McKinnon has been one of the reasons averaging over 18 touches per game since Cook’s injury with 4.25 YPC, 22 receptions and four touchdowns over the last five weeks. It’s hard to get a read on the Vikings/Rams game but McKinnon will be involved regardless of if the Vikings lead or trail while the Rams have allowed 4.47 YPC (28th) this season.

nfl fanduel week 11 picksDoug Martin (TB) @ MIA $6,100
If you read any of my articles you know that I sometimes recommend a player just based on a feeling I have, a “gut call” if you will. Martin is that guy for me this week. While I do expect good things from Fitzpatrick and the Bucs’ passing game, I will also have a couple GPP lineups where I pivot to the Bucs’ running game with Martin who has at least 18 carries in three of the last four games. Meanwhile, the Dolphins’ run defense has allowed a league-worst 5.22 YPC to opposing RBs over the last five weeks while giving up one rushing scored per game during that stretch. I can see 20 carries for 80 yards and a score for Martin, at least.

Wide Receivers

Sterling Shepard (NYG) vs KC $6,500
Shepard is the repeat recommendation that paid off last week with 11 receptions for 142 yards. He should get plenty of targets again this week as one of only two reliable pass catchers (Evan Engram) for the Giants in a game where there should be plenty of garbage time as they try to catch up to the Chiefs. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have allowed 210 receiving yards (29th) and 1.5 TDs (30th) to opposing WRs over the last five weeks.

DeVante Parker (MIA) vs TB $6,200
Parker continues to be one of my favorite inexpensive WRs to recommend in this article. He has been very consistent in the games he has started and finished this season with at least eight targets and 66 receiving yards in all five games. This gives him a nice floor you don’t often find at this price while still giving you the upside for a big game. That big game could come this week against a Bucs’ secondary that has allowed 183 yards (31st) and 1.1 TDs (26th) per game to opposing WRs this season.

Jeremy Maclin (BAL) @ GB $6,000
I don’t have nearly the confidence in Maclin as I do in my previous two WR recommendations but he did set season-highs in targets (9), receptions (8) and yards (98) in the Ravens game before their bye and he does get a favorable matchup against a Packers’ secondary that has allowed almost 212 yards (30th) to opposing WRs over the last five weeks. It is not an exciting game to get exposure to but somebody has to gain yards and score.

Tight Ends

Vernon Davis (WAS) @ NO $5,200 
This might be a week that I pay up for TE with all of the high-priced studs in favorable matchups. However, if you don’t want to pay for a TE than give Davis strong consideration with Jordan Reed likely out again. Over the last two games, Davis has received 20 targets for 13 receptions and 148 yards against two solid defenses (Vikings and Seahawks). He gets another solid defense this week in the Saints but with the Redskins’ expected to be trailing Davis is one of the most reliable options in the passing game for Kirk Cousins.

Kicker

Mason Crosby (GB) vs BAL $4,500
I’m going back to that Ravens/Packers “shootout” in Green Bay for my kicker this week. The Packers will have trouble finding the end zone with so many backups in the starting lineup which could lead to settling for more field goals in the red zone. The Ravens have allowed 2.5 field goal attempts per game over the last five weeks.

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Defense

Chargers (LAC) vs BUF $4,300
Anytime I can play a cheap defense playing at home as a favorite against a rookie QB making his first NFL start, I will. The Chargers fit that profile this week as the Bills travel across the country with rookie QB Nathan Peterman under center. The Chargers defense can apply pressure to the QB averaging 3.2 sacks (2nd) per game this season and should be able to force the rookie into a couple of mistakes.

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Brad Richter

Growing up, I was always intrigued with stats, from the back of baseball, football and basketball cards to playing dice rolling simulation games, while tracking the stats for the players on my team. My fantasy sports obsession began in college running fantasy football leagues with friends and has expanded into playing in both fantasy baseball and fantasy basketball leagues, and most recently Daily Fantasy Sports. I consider myself a “stats guy” by nature and lean on data to back up my advice and analysis of strategy techniques and player evaluations. That said, I have also always felt that sometimes you must go with a gut instinct based on things you have seen watching players play, even when the numbers don’t back it up. I feel that it is this mix of analysis that leads to the most successful formula when competing in fantasy sports.

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