Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (4/13)

Introduction

Last night’s lineup was a complete flop but that will happen sometimes when you’re swinging for the fences. I’d rather have a zero home run night followed up by a 4 for 5 homer night then just have two long balls each night. So, let’s see if “lucky” Friday the 13th can give me the bounce back night on a 13 (there is that number again) game slate.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

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Lineup

C – Evan Gattis (HOU) (FanDuel: $2,600 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Gattis had a .286 ISO at home against lefties last season and will face southpaw Cole Hamels who Gattis has taken deep three times in 26 career at-bats.

1B – Matt Olson (OAK) (FanDuel: $3,700 / DraftKings: $4,100) – Olson has a career .358 ISO against righties and will face Mariners’ right-hander Mike Leake who has allowed 1.18 HR/9 to lefties in his career.

2B – Ian Kinsler (LAA) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,900) – Kinsler homered to lead off the game last night and could make it two days in a row with the wind blowing out in KC and a matchup against Jason Hammel who Kinsler has taken deep twice in 17 career at-bats.

3B – Anthony Rendon (WAS) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,400) – Rendon posted a .346 ISO against lefties last season and will face Rockies’ left-hander Kyle Freeland who has given up 1.66 HR/9 to righties on the road in his career. The wind blowing out in DC will also help out.

SS – Corey Seager (LAD) (FanDuel: $3,700 / DraftKings: $4,200) – Seager seems to have Zack Greinke’s number with two home runs while going 6-for-11 against the right-hander while he has put up a .237 ISO at home against righties in his career.

OF – Mike Trout (LAA) (FanDuel: $5,400 / DraftKings: $5,600) – Trout has hit three home runs over his last five games and has a .269 ISO against righties in his career. He’ll face Royals right-hander Jason Hammel who allowed 1.49 HR/9 to righties last season.

OF – Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) (FanDuel: $4,700 / DraftKings: $5,300) – Some good cheap pitching options allows me to fit in another big bat with Stanton who has six hits over his last three games (with only three strikeouts) and will face Mike Fiers who allowed 1.98 HR/9 to righties last season.

OF – Ryan Braun (MIL) (FanDuel: $2,800 / DraftKings: $4,600) – Braun is another hitter that will benefit from favorable weather conditions with the wind blowing out and warmer temps in New York against the Mets’ lefty Steven Matz who allowed 2.06 HR/9 to righties last season.

Longshot – Ryan Zimmerman (WAS) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $4,000) – Zimmerman is only batting .103 on the season with one home run but he has made hard contact 66.6% of the time over his last five games and will face Kyle Anderson with the wind blowing out in Washington.

Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Jake Faria ($5,500)
DraftKings – Eduardo Rodriguez ($8,500), Jordan Montgomery ($7,100), Jake Faria ($5,800)

Results – Thursday, April 12

Overall Results

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