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Embed from Getty ImagesMichael Pittman (IND) OVER 5.5 Receptions
This is the easiest pick this week. The Titans rank 29th in pass DVOA — but 3rd in run DVOA — meaning the Colts will be forced to put it in the air, and Pittman will benefit. Pittman is coming off a game in which he saw 16 targets, catching 13 of them. He has gone over 5.5 catches in three of his five games this season and I see no reason why he can’t make it four out of six this week.
Christian McCaffrey (SF) UNDER 64.5 Rushing Yards
McCaffrey is mistakenly listed under Tamp Bay instead of the 49ers so I don’t know how NHA will handle this mistake. However, if they leave him Over/Under 64.5 rushing yards as a member of the 49ers, he is a smash play. CMC will have had two days to practice with the team by the time Sunday rolls around, and while the RB position is the easiest to plug and play, I don’t see a scenario where he is a big enough part of the game plan to have 65-plus rushing yards.
Jared Goff (DET) UNDER 236.5 Passing Yards
In Goff’s one-and-a-half season in Detriot, he has struggled on the road, averaging only 231 yards per game on the road (per FTNFantasy). The Cowboys’ defense on the other hand ranks third in pass DVOA, third in yards per attempt, and fourth in overall passing yards allowed. In fact, they only allowed one team to go over 200 pass yards, the LA Rams in Week 5, a game in which the Rams had to pass to try and come back in the game after turning it over three times.
