Buy Low

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Quarterback

Carson Palmer – This isn’t really a “buy low,” but basically just a buy. Owners aren’t valuing Palmer as a top 12 quarterback, but I’m buying him as a QB1. Without David Johnson, the Cardinals simply can’t run the ball effectively, averaging just 56.33 rushing yards per game from running backs since the Johnson injury. Palmer has 300 passing yards in each of the past three weeks and has some solid matchups ahead. See what it takes to get Palmer in trade, or grab him from waivers while he’s still there.

Also buy: Ben Roethlisberger (see why – http://goingfor2.com/2017-fantasy-football-week-4-buy-lowsell-high/)

Running Back

Joe Mixon – Mixon has 21 touches in each game since the Bengals switched offensive coordinators. The fact that he hasn’t scored has limited his fantasy production, but even without touchdowns, he’s averaging almost 11 PPR points per game since the switch. I value Mixon as an RB2 going forward.

Wide Receiver

Dez Bryant – We knew Bryant had a tough schedule to start the year and will face some tough corners (Sherman, Jenkins, and Norman if he’s healthy) yet this year, but his schedule gets a bit easier. He’s seen 40 targets through the first four weeks, and has scored twice. When he faces the tough corners, we’ll have to downgrade him to a WR2/3, that week, but in other matchups (Packers, 49ers), he’ll be a solid WR1.

Also buy: Amari Cooper (as a WR2/3)

Tight End

Austin Seferian-Jenkins – Over the past two weeks, Seferian-Jenkins has nine catches on ten targets and may be the most talented pass catcher on the Jets. The Jets are not a great offense, but we’re looking for targets from a weak tight end position this season. Seferian-Jenkins has been solid since coming off his suspension, and I see him as a fringe TE1 right now. He can be added or bought for very little.

 

Sell High

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Quarterback

Deshaun Watson – Watson is now a clear QB2, but after this week, people will start to buy him as a QB1. The Texans exploded for almost 37 more points than their implied team total last week. I’m guessing they won’t score 57 in a game again this season, and I also think this was Watson’s best fantasy performance of the year. If I can convert Watson into someone like Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz, or Kirk Cousins, I’d do it.

 

Running Back

Lamar Miller – For many of the same reasons I’m selling Watson, Miller is also a sell high. Miller converted a late receiving touchdown to boost his fantasy point production last week, and saw a very positive game script in the second half. He’s the lead back for the Texans, but still gave 24 snaps and 13 touches to rookie D’Onta Foreman who will likely remain involved going forward. Miller scored 30.6 PPR points in the first three weeks combined, but scored 29.1 PPR points last week. He’s one of the most obvious sell high candidates we’ve had in a while.

 

Wide Receiver

Tyrell Williams – I believe in Williams as a talent, but there are too many mouths to feed on the Chargers. Keenan Allen is the only reliable fantasy wide receiver on the team. The rest of the pass catchers (Travis Benjamin, Tyrell Williams, Hunter Henry, and Antonio Gates) will be tough to trust each week, especially once Mike Williams comes back.

 

Tight End

It should be obvious which tight ends are sell high candidates this week, but some tight end desparate teams may be buying anyways. If you own players like Tyler Kroft, A.J. Derby, O.J. Howard/Cameron Brate (to a lesser extent), explore your selling options for these players.

 

 


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